Posted on 04/17/2007 4:39:33 PM PDT by areafiftyone
OBAMA, GIULIANI LEAD PACK IN RACE FOR PRESIDENT AMONG 18-24 YEAR-OLDS, HARVARD POLL FINDS
Foreign Policy Issues, Particularly the War in Iraq and Genocide in Darfur, of Top Concern to Young People Today
Washington, DC - A new national poll by Harvard University's Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and U.S. Senator Barack Obama as 18-24 year-olds' first choices for President in 2008 among likely young voters of both parties. Regarding the mood of the country, less than one-third (31%) of young people say they approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as President, and nearly six in ten young people (59%) believe the country is "off on the wrong track" while only thirteen percent (13%) believe the country is headed in the "right direction." On issues facing the nation, half of young people today (50%) say that either "Iraq," "the War," the "War on Terror" or "domestic security" is the most concerning national issue, with no other issue registering higher than six percent (6%).
"As our new poll shows foreign policy issues - especially the War in Iraq and the crisis in Darfur - are the issues of greatest concern for young people as they consider the next election," said IOP Director Jeanne Shaheen. "Political parties and candidates looking for success at the polls in 2008 should take notice."
"In the seven years we have been conducting this national poll, we have seen a marked difference in political engagement and attitudes of young people," said IOP Polling Director John Della Volpe. "From the thirty-one percent increase in youth voter turnout from 2000 to 2004 to the 2006 upset victories of Senators Tester and Webb, younger voters are making a difference."
The online survey of 2,923 18-24 year old U.S. citizens conducted between March 8 and March 26, 2007 finds -
Harvard students designed the poll, in consultation with Kennedy School lecturer David King and IOP Polling Director John Della Volpe, whose firm SocialSphere commissioned Harris Interactive to conduct the survey. Complete results and past surveys are available online at www.iop.harvard.edu.
The Harvard Institute of Politics' 12th Biannual Youth Survey on Politics and Public Service was conducted online by Harris Interactive among 1,440 U.S. citizens ages 18 to 24 years old enrolled in 4-year colleges and universities, and 1,483 U.S. citizens ages 18-24 not enrolled in 4-year colleges and universities. The study was fielded between March 8 and March 26, 2007. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, household income and region for these populations were weighted where necessary to bring them in line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 2,923 one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/3 percentage points. Sampling error for data based on sub-samples would be higher and would vary. However that does not take other sources of error into account. This online survey is not based on a probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
Harris Interactive is the 12th largest and fastest-growing market research firm in the world. The company provides innovative research, insights and strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to measurable and enduring improvements in performance. Harris Interactive is widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has built what it believes to be the world's largest panel of survey respondents, the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide through its United States, Europe and Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiaries Novatris in France and MediaTransfer AG in Germany, and through a global network of independent market research firms. More information about Harris Interactive may be obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.
Harvard University's Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, was established in 1966 as a memorial to President Kennedy. The IOP's mission is to unite and engage students, particularly undergraduates, with academics, politicians, activists, and policymakers on a non-partisan basis and to stimulate and nurture their interest in public service and leadership. The Institute strives to promote greater understanding and cooperation between the academic world and the world of politics and public affairs.
WHOLE POLL IS HERE SURVEY RESULTS
Ie. among non-voters.
Also, youngsters who can't read at all strongly favor the tough-talking drag queen.
18-24 year olds?
If it were up to me, they wouldn’t be allowed to vote until they’ve held a job for 5 years and had had a family.
Most of them aren’t savvy enough on the issues or don’t care or are just too ignorant in that stage of life.
But do you have any data on which Republicans this age group supports?
(((RUDY PING))))
I think you might find info on the PDF link at the bottom.
I worked with people in this age group. They usually chose a Democrat, but couldn’t bring themselves to get to the polls to vote.
Thanks for the link.
BTW-I did find an error in their data. They put Rudy’s name in the group with Republican candidates.
I would expect a bit more fact checking from the folks at Harvard.
That was exactly my thoughts when I saw the title...The "Vote or Die" crowd.
Whatever!
I see the BREAKFAST CLUB has arrived!
Given a choice, the majority of 18 to 24 year old people favor 50¢ beer night over world peace and believe potato chips are on the food pyramid.
The indoctrination is working. And I could have told you this. These kids have grown up with a very poor understanding of history or what makes this nation unique.
As someone who just left this age group, my peers have annoyed me to no end over this nonsense. With the first kink you throw into an argument, the walls come tumbling down. But you won’t change their minds. Rrrr....
Most of these people will like Obama but really only know that 1) he’s black, 2) he’s young, 3) he speaks well, and 4) he’s against the war. That’s enough, apparently. I’ve seen it over and over again.
Rudy runs weakest with young people, and strongest with people over 50.
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