Your premises are flawed. It's still a long ways to the primaries, and Rudy's support is slipping. And it will continue to slip as Rudy commits gaffe after gaffe.
Rudy's only hope is that the conservative vote splits. However, that is no way to win the general election. He will not hold the party.
I agree with you that Rudy is not perfect, but neither is Fred Thompson, who I like a lot. My favorite is Duncan Hunter, an honest, decent man .... with views that I totally agree. However, he’s a 1@ candidate with little appeal. We need someone THIS ELECTION that has the ability to win the moderates, independents, to BEAT THE MARXIST. Do you understand what life will be like in American with Hitlary in there for 8 YEARS. We will never be able to survive an UNAmerican president. She wants to make this Europe Socialism.
WAKE UP AMERICA. We can survive Giuliani, we cannot survive HILLARY. Take your pick.
The vote is already split.
If Rudy gets nominated it’s entirely possible that he’d get more votes from liberals who just don’t like Hillary personally then from actual conservatives.