How do you answer then the fact that McCain was similarly “well-defined”, and yet the polls about him are swinging wildly in the past three months?
How do you argue that Rudy is different, or not subject to the same change of fortune?
Scott Rasmussen was just interviewed on KSFO. He said that over 50% of Republicans are not really committed and that the race is wide open.
I don’t think Giuliani should be feeling smug.
If there is a wild swing, a big factor is Fred Thompson entering the mix. Nevertheless, comparing Rasmussen’s poll numbers from when Thompson’s name was first included (3/26-29) with the latest poll numbers they are: Rudy went up from 26% to 30%, McCain went down from 16% to 14%, and Thompson stayed the same at 14%. So comparing apples with apples, Rudy is the only who has gone up. How do you explain that?