Every time out they say brokered convention....then one candidate wraps it up earlier and earlier...
A brokered Republican convention would inevitably produce a nominee who has a hard time unifying the party to the (great) extent this will be necessary. People have expected for a long time now that the nominee will be the “choice” of the party’s voters. The reason there won’t be a brokered convention, in either party, is that there aren’t sufficient ideological differences among the candidates to sustain a second- or third-place campaign after a few defeats at the beginning of ‘08. After the first few primaries, a front-runner will be clear and everyone else will fold. There is almost no opportunity anymore for a Reagan ‘76 scenario, where he resolves — against the advice of at least some advisors — to stay in the race. Indeed, RR said he’d stay in the race even if he lost every primary. That kind of political seriousness simply doesn’t exist anymore.