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China, India to Lead World Economic Front (Financial Express)
Financial Express ^ | 31 July 2007 | The Financial Express

Posted on 07/31/2007 10:55:13 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo

China and India are the new engines of world economic growth, replacing the United States and other developed countries, International Monetary Fund managing director Rodrigo Rato said Tuesday.

He said China overtook the United States this year to become the biggest contributor to world economic growth.

"For the first time, the largest contribution to global growth will now be made by China," Rato told a business conference in the Philippines.

"Looking ahead, we expect this pattern of growth to continue... we expect China -and increasingly India – to grow in importance as engines of global growth."

He said China would grow by more than 11 per cent and India at around nine per cent this year, with almost equal rates in 2008.

“After slowing down, the US economy would "regain momentum gradually as the drag from the current housing correction and the softness in the business sector dissipates.”

"Prospects in Europe and Japan remain good," Rato added, without giving specific figures.

"The outlook for the global economy is generally good and the economic prospects of most countries in emerging Asia are also good," he said.

At the same time, Rato warned that the oil market and capital flows were a major concern.

While the global economy had easily shrugged off the high oil prices driven by increased demand, "a supply shock could be much more damaging to global growth."

Inflows of capital to emerging economies could complicate macro-economic management and expose the countries that receive them to an abrupt reversal of flows when sudden shocks occur," he added.

Rato also said there was a "danger of a backlash against globalization" as many people felt mainly benefited the wealthy and educated.

He said the best way to address this inequality was to increase investment in education and technology and give the poor more access to infrastructure, utilities and financial services so they could also benefit from globalization as well.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; india; usa
For comment, debate, etc.
1 posted on 07/31/2007 10:55:16 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Methinks someone is full of Shiite. ;o)


2 posted on 07/31/2007 11:00:58 PM PDT by pissant (Duncan Hunter: Warrior, Statesman, Conservative)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Yeah, wait’ll you see what China and Asian markets do overnight/tomorrow (and....ours)

Gonna be a brutal day, IMO.


3 posted on 07/31/2007 11:02:29 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (When Bubba lies, the finger flies!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Chinese growth potential is inherently limited by the restriction of the free flow of information necessary to initiate and sustain innovation. The authoritarian, technocratic elite running that country cannot abide freedom of thought in its truest sense—unless that thinking is harnessed to the promotion of China’s image as an unstoppable economic juggernaut. Besides, I remember the same kind of comments made when Japan was going through its boom period in the Eighties, when supposedly knowledgeable commentators talked about the inevitability of Japanese economic dominance and the certainty of American decline.

In show business, buzz is generated by paid mouthpieces putting out the word on this or that celebrity: spreading gossip, doing promotional campaigns and publicity stunts, conducting photo ops orchestrated not to look like photo ops. These mouthpieces are paid by the studio or the record label or the talent agency representing that particular star.

Same thing here. Follow the money.


4 posted on 08/01/2007 12:15:33 AM PDT by Rembrandt_fan
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Well, the US economy is about 5 times that the size of the Chinese economy (you can argue that on a PPP basis the gap is smaller). China continues to turn out 10-11% GDP increases year after year. US GDP growth for the year is in a slowdown at 1.8% for the year. Anytime, US growth falls below 1/5 the Chinese growth rate, then it will become the primary engine for growth.

China is growing but it’s numbers are not to be believed. It is the command side of the economy which continues to generate the statistics. We saw what the real Soviet economy was like when the music stopped.


5 posted on 08/01/2007 12:29:45 AM PDT by Roy Tucker ("You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality"--Ayn Rand)
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To: Roy Tucker
We saw what the real Soviet economy was like when the music stopped.

That may be true, but with the Soviets, there wasn't this massive transportation of finished goods leaving ports in thousands of container vessels, as the case is, with China. Moreover, the 'Made/Faked/Manufactured in China' labels are far more common than the U.S.S.R- made labels ever were.

6 posted on 08/01/2007 1:48:27 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
China: just send us some more poisoned pet and poisoned human food and consumables.

Of course mad cow disease stopped US beef exports to Japan, stone cold, nmuch to our disgrace.

China's over heated economic engine is about to thrash and crash within the next few years. Then maybe they will go slowly and build their economy well.

Perhaps we are seeing the first signs of a devolution of communism in China. Its body politic has lost control of its economy, and can barely keep the lid on the pot, let alone guide whats happening IN the soup as they need to.

Wild horses cannot drag me to the 2008 Olympics, where mob rule is sure to become the order of the day, with its consequent overreaction by the PLA.

7 posted on 08/01/2007 1:51:31 AM PDT by Candor7 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Baghdad_(1258))
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To: pissant

lol


8 posted on 08/01/2007 2:18:07 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (Visit this thread 1-hour from now. In that time-an average of 416.6 more ILLEGALS will be in the USA)
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To: CarrotAndStick

But the companies that are making money in the export business in China are the foreign companies. The State-Owned Enterprises are losing money hand over fist but can’t be wound up because they provide employment to millions.

China’s growth will not be a straight line 10% for as far as the eye can see as many analysts seem to think.


9 posted on 08/01/2007 6:12:35 AM PDT by Roy Tucker ("You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality"--Ayn Rand)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Note to the Democrat New Socialist party: your goals are being met. Keep up the good work. /s
10 posted on 08/01/2007 6:40:21 AM PDT by snowrip (Liberal? YOU ARE A SOCIALIST WITH NO RATIONAL ARGUMENT.)
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To: Roy Tucker
We saw what the real Soviet economy was like when the music stopped.

However, the Soviet economy wasn't being fueled by a nearly-infinite supply of foreign investment. Also, there were few in the US government lobbying for increased trade, Most Favored Nation status, and a seat on the WTC with the USSR. Nowadays, our politicians run panting to the Chinese Communists... even Bush.

The Chinese, it seems, will actually be the ones that sell us the rope we use to hang ourselves with.
11 posted on 08/01/2007 6:47:03 AM PDT by snowrip (Liberal? YOU ARE A SOCIALIST WITH NO RATIONAL ARGUMENT.)
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To: snowrip

The Russian economy now is 20 times larger than the Soviet Economy ever was.


12 posted on 08/01/2007 8:33:55 AM PDT by Thunder90
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To: Roy Tucker
The comparison of China with USSR is not valid. Nobody had any idea what USSR economy was like, until the iron curtain collapsed. China is different. Chinese growth is very visible around the world. You can see their new glitzy cities springing up everywhere all the time. You can see the amount of Chinese influence the world is having with the presence of Chinese people and products. The Chinese are everywhere. People are learning to speak Chinese to globalise their business and to enter China. More products are made for China and more products are coming out of China. USSR was more of a mystery. Were it not for its massive and hostile military power, the world would not have known it even existed.
13 posted on 08/01/2007 9:08:38 AM PDT by Gengis Khan
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To: snowrip
The Chinese, it seems, will actually be the ones that sell us the rope we use to hang ourselves with.

Looks like we need to do something about that...I have an idea who might be able to:


14 posted on 08/01/2007 2:32:57 PM PDT by Paul Ross (Ronald Reagan-1987:"We are always willing to be trade partners but never trade patsies.")
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Gee, where are all the phoney free traders who normally rush in to deny that they aren’t top-dogs anymore.


15 posted on 08/01/2007 2:34:39 PM PDT by Paul Ross (Ronald Reagan-1987:"We are always willing to be trade partners but never trade patsies.")
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To: Paul Ross

We’ll have to clean out the hand-wringers, pansies, Free Traitors, and other assorted dimwits in both the House and Senate as well.


16 posted on 08/01/2007 3:19:52 PM PDT by snowrip (Liberal? YOU ARE A SOCIALIST WITH NO RATIONAL ARGUMENT.)
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