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Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]
NOAA/NWS ^ | August 16 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

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Buoy Data East Caribbean

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Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; tropical; tsdean
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To: dirtboy
Speaking of bad news, here goes an eyewall replacement cycle amid more strengthening (mostly in the wind department at this point)...

URNT12 KNHC 171614
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 17/15:59:50Z
B. 14 deg 40 min N
  062 deg 54 min W
C. NA  mb 2787 m
D. 69  kt
E. 215 deg 006 nm
F. 307 deg 065 kt
G. 215 deg 005 nm
H.        963  mb
I.  NA C/ 3040 m
J.  18 C/ 3027 m
K.  11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. CO17-32
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2  nm
P. AF304 0404A DEAN OB 22
MAX FL WIND 115 KT NE QUAD 16:03:00 Z
INNER EYE OPEN SW-S

201 posted on 08/17/2007 9:46:56 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: Ditter

Destination: Mexico


202 posted on 08/17/2007 9:50:51 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: shield
We'll see . I think the aides have the key to the weather machine.

"Mexico!"

"Texas!"

"Give me back the control!"

"DAD!!!!!!"

203 posted on 08/17/2007 10:07:02 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: steveegg
Uh oh. Wind speed and pressure translates to Cat 3.

This storm is doing everything more quickly than predicted.

204 posted on 08/17/2007 10:13:13 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: shield
A healthy hurricane...


205 posted on 08/17/2007 10:27:38 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: CindyDawg

Well, The Valley will be on the dirty side which = RAIN. Does the valley need rain?


206 posted on 08/17/2007 10:28:51 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: prairiebreeze

marking thread


207 posted on 08/17/2007 10:29:24 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (PUT AMERICA AHEAD! VOTE FOR FRED!!)
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To: NautiNurse

Yes, I agree...when you click on it, you can see that eye.


208 posted on 08/17/2007 10:33:43 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: NautiNurse
Hopefully it will top out and weaken earlier than expected too.

Guess the next question is whether the NHC makes it a Cat 3 in the 2 pm intermediate advisory or waits until the 5 pm full update.

209 posted on 08/17/2007 10:34:00 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: shield

In a word: No.


210 posted on 08/17/2007 10:34:44 AM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak

YES


211 posted on 08/17/2007 10:35:27 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: shield

No thank you. We have had plenty lately. Is Erin affecting the upper RG? I noticed (as I was going to pay my flood insurance) that some of the resacas are up.


212 posted on 08/17/2007 10:37:16 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: shield
I know you asked CindyDawg, but we’re saturated.

Dean is looking to me a lot like Allen.

213 posted on 08/17/2007 10:37:41 AM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak

NO...the valley needs no rain? WOW...the valley has been in a drought situation for yrs and yrs. If that’s the case there should be some really delicious crops? Yum Yum Yum


214 posted on 08/17/2007 10:38:21 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: CindyDawg

WHY is this thread still in general chat??!! We have another potential Katrina here and the news is buried.


215 posted on 08/17/2007 10:38:43 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: Pebcak

I got here a little after Allen so I’m not familar with it. I’ve heard stories though. We have had flash flooding several times lately. I don’t think we could even handle a TS right now.


216 posted on 08/17/2007 10:40:15 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

After the 2 wks of a heat wave...in my area everything was completely dry. We needed that rain yesterday.


217 posted on 08/17/2007 10:40:21 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: shield

Where are you?


218 posted on 08/17/2007 10:41:15 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Pebcak

That’s what some are saying...Allen...but there are others OUT of the news weather 24/7 hype crapola...that are saying 2 mexico landfalls.


219 posted on 08/17/2007 10:43:04 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: shield
A lot of the crops have been trashed by all the rain. But what’s left should be delicious, except after next Thursday, you may have to go to the Big Bend to retrieve them.
220 posted on 08/17/2007 10:43:17 AM PDT by Pebcak
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