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Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]
NOAA/NWS ^ | August 16 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

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IR Image

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Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; tropical; tsdean
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To: dirtboy
'third pig house'....LOL too cute!
..everyone coastal needs a third pig house.
741 posted on 08/18/2007 8:46:30 AM PDT by Guenevere (A)
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To: Guenevere

Since I am in a mandatory evac zone on the water, I’ve lost some prepaid hotel reservations a few times over the years. It would seem so much easier to keep the hurricane gear in an RV, and toss the cats and their litter boxes in there when necessary. It’s so hard to find hotels that allow pets. As well, the extended family has taken to renting RVs for camping over the Thanksgiving holidays. We certainly have room on the property for an RV.


742 posted on 08/18/2007 8:49:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: Guenevere
with everything packed in the 'basement'

I've said many times, a basement around here would be a submarine.

743 posted on 08/18/2007 8:50:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse

Same here.


744 posted on 08/18/2007 8:52:53 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: tcrlaf

Wow...that site is great! BTTT. Adding to favorites.


745 posted on 08/18/2007 8:52:56 AM PDT by I got the rope
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To: NautiNurse
Well there you have it!

I think you've talked yourself into an RV, LOL.

By basement I mean RV basement, which is what we call the HUGE storage area we have in ours.

We have no basement in our home.

746 posted on 08/18/2007 8:54:10 AM PDT by Guenevere (A)
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To: jpsb

Are you the one who was in Bacliff or somewhere around the Shrimp Hut or thereabouts? Last one left in your town for Rita? I remember sweating somebody out down there.


747 posted on 08/18/2007 8:56:23 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: jpsb

Oh, sorry - I was back-reading and hadn’t gotten to this post of yours before I posted my previous question - and I *almost* asked if it was San Leon, but thought I was imagining things, lol.


748 posted on 08/18/2007 9:00:47 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: CindyDawg

A friend of mine in Corpus just told me he was thinking about renting an RV for a few days and driving it out to Bandara. I tried to talk him out of it. An RV, even in Bandara is no match for Dean.

I see you’re in South Texas as well. Prayers for your safety and property.


749 posted on 08/18/2007 9:06:54 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: Uncle Ike

bump


750 posted on 08/18/2007 9:14:47 AM PDT by Uncle Ike (We has met the enemy, and he is us........)
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To: HollyB

bump


751 posted on 08/18/2007 9:16:21 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Rte66
Yup that's me, San Leon. I am on the point of the peninula that juts into Galveston Bay, LOL. Nice view, love the water but (big) hurricanes are a real scare. Sam Leon will not survivde "the big one", highest elevation in San Leon is 12 feet.

After reading the experts I am not to worried about Dean, sounds like she is going to be well south of here when she makes land fall.

752 posted on 08/18/2007 9:19:26 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Sunnyflorida

You, your house and set up have great style.

A big thumbs up to you and yours. Good work.


753 posted on 08/18/2007 9:22:02 AM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: NautiNurse

Well, that Friday night that Rita was coming in was the day that I finally signed up here on FR, after lurking for several years. It was a rough night, but I stayed through it, here in Nederland. Took care of my grandmother, who was just out of the hospital. She’s still kicking, two years later, and at age 93. She was so zonked out on medications that night, she didn’t have any idea a massive hurricane was hitting. The house was positively pulsating with those winds, and trees were going down left and right.


754 posted on 08/18/2007 9:22:34 AM PDT by greene66
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To: Timeout
Same set up for me. 5k with lots of heavy duty drop cords. Works for power outages caused by hurricanes of ice/snow storms - or a cement truck taking out a main line power pole. :-)

At 90 miles inland the most we’ve been out of power has been 48 hours

755 posted on 08/18/2007 9:28:10 AM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: HollyB

We had been considering waiting it out in the Hill Country except.....Somebody remarked yesterday that Bandera got 15 inches of rain Thurs. I’m not sure of the reliability of that statement but I believe I did hear on TV that San Antone got 10 inches.

Lots of flash flooding already I’d think, not even considering what Dean may do.


756 posted on 08/18/2007 9:36:54 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (PUT AMERICA AHEAD! VOTE FOR FRED!!)
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To: amom; Arrowhead1952; Sundog; Cindy

Maybe Dean’s headed for that ‘place’ we were talking about in Tamaulipas?


757 posted on 08/18/2007 9:38:28 AM PDT by txhurl
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To: jpsb

Oh, I’m not worried, either. *famous last words* I’m just in suburban Houston and, since Rita, we’ve been told by the authorities NOT to evac, come hell or high water.


758 posted on 08/18/2007 9:38:29 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: prairiebreeze

Bandera is all about low water crossings, too. The creek *already* goes over the road!


759 posted on 08/18/2007 9:40:07 AM PDT by Rte66
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To: Rte66

LOL, yes it does! I love the Hill Country but can easily see where it would turn mighty dangerous real quick with downpours.


760 posted on 08/18/2007 9:41:42 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (PUT AMERICA AHEAD! VOTE FOR FRED!!)
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