Posted on 09/18/2007 6:24:39 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has pulled to within three points of former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary. A month ago, Romney had a twelve-point edge.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows that Romney is the top choice for 25% of Likely Primary Voters while Giuliani is preferred by 22%. Nineteen percent (19%) prefer the newest entrant in the race, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson while 12% favor Arizona Senator John McCain. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is at 4% in the poll while four other candidates split 5% of the national vote. Thirteen percent (13%) of voters are not sure how they will vote.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of New Hampshire’s Republican Primary voters say that Thompson should not have skipped a debate in New Hampshire to announce his candidacy on the Tonight Show. Twenty-five percent (25%) say it was a good decision while 35% are not sure.
However, 77% say that Thompson’s position on the issues will matter more to New Hampshire voters than his decision to skip the debate.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
ping!
In the left of liberal NE, Fred is within striking distance of two NE left of center pubs who both held high office there?
Without even campaigning there? All right!
Mitt has invested so much time and resources into Iowa and NH that he must win both places.
And what’s even funnier is when we consider this: How much money has Fred spend in NH to date? Not very much, would be my guess. How much has Romney spent? A ton. And Fred’s within 6 points already. Gotta love it.
If Romney wins by a really close margin like this, it would be considered a loss. That said, if his and Guiliani’s support is so soft that Thompson’s mere entry into the race can covert it to a virtual dead heat between the three of them, then it bodes very ill for Romney(and Rudy) in January, when the real voting starts.
Has Fred spent anything anywhere?
Do you know the actual date of the primary?
I think I read that Mitt has spent millions, it appears there is not much return on his investments so far.
It’s a horse race and all that matters is who’s ahead at the end.
Since this represents a seven point drop for Romney and an eight point gain for Thompson... I'd say four months is plenty of time.
Iowa is significantly more conservative than NH. Expect a major change there as well, possibly a lead change.
That was my point. At the rate Fred is going, he won’t need 4 months and he may not even need 4 weeks.
But... but... but... but... but... but...
LLS
Ron Paul supporters will be here soon to tell us how the phone poll was rigged.
Now going to look at the thread, to see if they’ve already been here.
True, it is a horse race, but neither Romney nor Rudy has shown any ability to come from behind. If Fred gets solid leads both nationally and in the early states (which he is rapidly achieving), he is going to be very hard to catch, particularly for Rudy and Romney, whose support is much less committed than Fred’s.
IMRight, I suggest you check your sarcasm detector, I think it may be malfunctioning. Often, this early in the morning, that occurs because of insufficient caffeine input.
“””If Romney wins by a really close margin like this, it would be considered a loss. That said, if his and Guiliani’s support is so soft that Thompson’s mere entry into the race can covert it to a virtual dead heat between the three of them, then it bodes very ill for Romney(and Rudy) in January, when the real voting starts.”””
Conservatives now have a candidate, that is wonderful news.
“IMRight, I suggest you check your sarcasm detector”
Lol... I was agreeing with Brices.
You obviously know nothing about the 89 or 93 Mayoral races in New York City.
Previous Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 32, Guiliani 20, Thompson 11, McCain 11, Huckabee 3
New Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 25, Guiliani 22, Thompson 19, McCain 12, Huckabee 4
Net Change: Romney -7, Guiliani +2, Thompson +8, McCain +1, Huckabee +1
Net Spread Change: Romney/Guiliani -9, Romney/Thompson -15, Romney/McCain -8, Guiliani/Thompson -6, Guiliani/McCain +1, Thompson/McCain +7
Oh... I don't know about that. We could expect a bounce when he jumped into the race... it's just as reasonable to expect much of that to fade over the next couple weeks (and to see the MSM declare him a flash in the pan).
I expect it to take some time before he's legitimately the frontrunner... and I'm not sure he wins NH anyway.
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