Having served on an Aegis cruiser (The Vincennes, although a few years after the shootdown), I find it highly unlikely that TWA 800 was the result of an accidental shot from the Normandy. It just doesn’t work that way. Most of the time, the magazines were empty until you prepared to deploy, and you certainly didn’t operate live fire exercises in the vecinity of Long Island. The missile ranges are much farther south, off Norfolk.
What do you make of the missile sitings in the Long Island area about six days prior to the TWA 800 incident?
I don’t question your analysis, but something sure seems to have been taking place around Long Island in that time frame.
The Navy also admits there was a training exercise in the TWA 800 vacinity on the night of the TWA 800 incident.