[WOSG]

Wasted rant.

There will NOT be a brokered convention. No point pining for it, as it would end up just getting Hillary elected anyway. We are better off without it.

But it won’t happen. Here’s why.

Florida is winner take all. McCain is in the lead, Romney is #2. If Romney wins, he will have a clear majority of delegates so far and will have the momentum to take many states including California, and will have the money to effectively be the only one funding a candidacy through the latter primaries. With no competition, he can easily rack up the needed wins.

If McCain wins, he wont have a majority of delegates immediately, but will sweep the board on Feb 5th and get enough to be on the way to a majority.

Either Mitt Romney or John McCain will pick up most of the delegates by March and will be the nominee.

Oh, and Huck has zero chance and Rudy has zero chance. They are fading in polls as we speak and as people recognize that this is a two man race soon to be a 1 man race.

Pick the better of those two and stand by your man. One of them will be the nominee.

End of story.

[coalman]

well thats not necessarily true , no one knows what will or can happen,its easy to go with the odds,but sometimes the odds change,there could be two brokered conventions,one independent,one green to run,who knows how a polarized society will vote ,too many variables to just act like its cut and dried

[johnthebaptistmoore]

After all of what you have said is done, I still truly don’t see how the final GOP Presidential candidate succeeds in winning on November 4.

[TBP]

NOBODY is going to “sweep teh board” on February 5. And that’s a good thing.

[TeleStraightShooter]

I digress - if mcCain wins Fla he will have a slight lead in delegates on super tuesday. The press pimp'in his "momentum" will get some votes, but there is no way McCain wins in sagebrush, farm belt or southern comfort regions against Romney

mcCain will not have 50% of the delegates @ convention.

[Mogollon]

Florida is winner take all. McCain is in the lead, Romney is #2.

Actually, Rasmussen has Romney ahead of McQueeg by 5%, and I suspect Romney will pick up most of Thompsons voters that don't stay home and pout.

[nickcarraway]

Why will the brokered convention cause them to lose? McCain and Romney are just as likely to lose without it?

[Invincibly Ignorant]

Florida is winner take all. McCain is in the lead, Romney is #2.

Where do you get this? Romney has delegate lead and is leading in Fla.

[B Knotts]

Mostly right, but McCain supposedly just doesn’t have the money to compete on Feb. 5 in all states. He’ll have to pick and choose, so he’d have to not only win, but win big in Florida to be able to “sweep the table.” Now, it’s possible that in the next week, he’ll rais $25 million, but that doesn’t seem that likely, especially since most of his potential supporters have probably already donated to Hillary or Obama.

Giuliani is not flush with cash, either.

And Huckabee is almost broke.

[El Gato]

Pick the better of those two and stand by your man. One of them will be the nominee.

Jolly, a choice between a gun with a hot temper who doesn't understand "Congress shall make no law", and a second, whose paste actions, despite his current protestations, indicate he doesn't understand "shall not be infringed". Of course the Donkey candidate will be on the wrong side of both those issues, and generally willfully ignorant of the rest of the Constitution as well.

I doubt that whatever came out of a brokered convention would be any worse, but it's likely to be one of them anyway.

BOHICA

[Seruzawa]

Good analysis.