I doubt the Chinese would want to nuke Taiwan. Too close to the mainland.
Talking with members of the CCP in China, and factory owners who are Taiwanese, pretty much everyone agrees that ultimately Taiwan will reunite with China, in much the same way that Hong Kong did.
And the Chinese will keep their hands off of it, just like they’re doing with HK - they’re not going to touch the golden goose that drives their economy! Most of the industrialization in the Ningbo and Xiamen areas is from Taiwanese companies.
Taiwan and China are so inter-depedent on each other in terms of trade, that there really won’t be a shot fired - it’ll be a merger when it’s suitable to both sides. Until then, politicians on both sides will rattle sabers and issue proclamations because, well, that’s what politicians do...