“At this late moment, California means everything.”
There we have it. Zogby has Mitt up 8 points.
Is it a real lead or is it Zogby’s Special Sauce? I thought Zogby brings out the Special Sauce for the Dim candidates. I guess we shall see.
Zogby had McCain up by 1 in Michigan, and Romney won by nine. Zogby correctly called the late trend for McCain in Florida. Zogby has been the most accurate pollster in the Primary season, and he hasn't favored Romney. So, if Zogby has Romney trending up in California, it probably is because Romney is up.
The latest Zogby poll:
California - Republicans 2/1-3 1/31-2-2 Romney 40% 37% McCain 32% 34% Huckabee 12% 12% Paul 5% 5% Someone else 4% 5% Undecided 8% 7%
Republicans
Romney’s California lead over McCain grew by three points over the previous tracking poll, to 40% support in this important winner-take-all state, compared to McCain’s 32%, a two-point loss from the day before. Romney did well among conservative voters here, with 46% of their support, compared to McCain’s 29%. That group made up more than half the sample. The survey included 915 likely voters and carried a margin of error of +/- 3.3 points.