Three Likely Scenarios:
1 - Most Conservatives do not support McCain = McCain Loses
2 - Majority of Conservatives support McCain = McCain loses
3 - Almost all conservatives support McCain = McCain loses
In any case, get ready for something like the 1936 presidential results.
Yes, as goes Maine, so goes Vermont. I think those were the only two states Landon carried. Even his home state of Kansas went FDR.
McCain will carry Montana, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Arizona, and maybe Nebraska.
He is going to take a huge drubbing. And so will we. But that’s what happens when a party strays from its principles.