[Guns are GOOD]

Just based on the initial post, let’s give Huckabee Texas, Mississippi, North Carolina, and Kentucky. That is 293 of the 371 Kurt stated Huckabee needs to block McCain. Not enough. If you have a more detailed analysis of what states Huckabee will win and the delegates he will receive, I would be interested in seeing it.

[deport]

I don’t have an analysis..... The above table I posted had the states showing how they voted or which ones hadn’t voted to date. I”m not sure the Hopester will win Texas. He may win a few delegates as it’s winner take all by CD and Statewide but I don’t see a sweep.

[deport]

Also I don't see the unpledged delegates going against the popular vote in general although it isn't a majority at this time. Some states may but I think the general following will be to the national winner and how the party powers that be have determined the outcome. That isn't necessarily a good thing but it looks like what we are stuck with..... McCain

The Green Papers
2008 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions

 

Republican Convention
Presidential Nominating Process
39th Republican National Convention: Monday 1 September - Thursday 4 September 2008

Candidate	Popular Vote	Delegate Votes
		Soft Pledged	Soft Unpledged	Soft Total	Alternative Soft Total*	Hard Total
McCain, John S.	5,695,383  39.19%	848  47.08%	18   3.11%	866  36.39%	971  38.59%	219   9.20%
Romney, Mitt	4,303,899  29.62%	124   6.89%	57   9.84%	181   7.61%	199   7.91%	57   2.39%
Huckabee, Mike	2,961,868  20.38%	204  11.33%	23   3.97%	227   9.54%	230   9.14%	101   4.24%
Paul, Ron	656,871   4.52%	5   0.28%	16   2.76%	21   0.88%	21   0.83%	5   0.21%
Giuliani, Rudolph W.	561,623   3.86%
Thompson, Fred Dalton	250,727   1.73%		11   1.90%	11   0.46%	11   0.44%
Uncommitted	28,949   0.20%	40   2.22%	1   0.17%	41   1.72%	33   1.31%	18   0.76%
Hunter, Duncan	28,220   0.19%		1   0.17%	1   0.04%	1   0.04%
Keyes, Alan L.	22,221   0.15%
(others)	8,180   0.06%
Tancredo, Thomas Gerald "Tom"	8,012   0.06%
Cox, John H.	2,971   0.02%
Brownback, Samuel Dale	2,564   0.02%
(available)		580  32.20%	452  78.07%	1,032  43.36%	1,050  41.73%	1,980  83.19%
Total	14,531,488 100.00%	1,801 100.00%	579 100.00%	2,380 100.00%	2,516 100.00%	2,380 100.00%

2,380 total delegates
(before penalties: 2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus)
 
*The Alternative Soft Total assumes that delegates not currently listed in the Soft Total and/or Hard Total will actually be seated and, thereby, eligible to vote during the Roll Call re: the Presidential Nomination at the National Convention.