Flawed reasoning by the author.
Agreed.
Hillary has 100% name recognition and a 50% negative rating. Her negatives aren't going to go down during the campaign (unless her negatives go higher), so as long as McCain can get a decent turnout he'll win in a walk.
Not to mention that Hillary adopted the same boneheaded strategy that forced Giuliani to bow out in disgrace - concentrate on winning a few key states (in her case, the early ones) without bothering to build a solid cross-country organization. That's why she's struggling now; she was counting on being able to coast on momentum that she never got.
Obama, on the other hand, is a scary candidate. He's getting better in the debates every single time, and has become a much better candidate. He's got a strong organization in every state across the nation, is raising money hand over fist and (as much as we hate to admit it) he's borrowed the most successful page from Reagan's book, forcing us to run a national campaign against hope and optimism.
I would much rather face Hillary in the general. We ought not let our long-festering disdain for BJ blind us to the realities of today.