.."whatchu talkin about, rasmussen ?"
Posted on 03/24/2008 8:54:26 PM PDT by Red Steel
Monday, March 24, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows ongoing volatility in the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Nationally, Hillary Clinton now holds a very slight advantage over Barack Obama, 46% to 44%. For the past week-and-a-half, Obama’s support has been between 44% and 47% every day. Clinton’s support has ranged from 42% to 46% (see recent daily results). In discussing the Pennsylvania Primary, Governor Ed Rendell indicates that the Clinton campaign is ready to keep fighting to the end of the primaries and beyond.
Looking ahead to the General Election in November, John McCain continues to lead both potential Democratic opponents. McCain leads Barack Obama 50% to 41% and Hillary Clinton 49% to 42% (see recent daily results). New polling shows McCain narrowly behind both Democrats in Nevada while McCain has a solid lead over both in North Carolina. March has been a good month for John McCain. But, a Rasmussen Reports video notes that a good month of March doesn’t get you to the White House, that requires a good day in November. There is at least one major issue standing between McCain and a victory celebration in November.
On Monday, McCain is viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 42%. Obama’s reviews are 46% favorable and 52% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 42% favorable, 55% unfavorable (see recent daily results).
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 247 to 229. Over the past month, McCain has gained ground in Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota, Colorado, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania. He leads both Democrats in Georgia and Arkansas. Both Democrats continue to lead in New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut and California (see summary of recent state general election polling).
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The next Presidential Tracking Poll update is scheduled for Tuesday at 11:00 a.m. The results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.
Rasmussen Markets data now give Obama a - % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at - %. Market data also suggests that Obama has a - % chance to become the next President. Expectations for McCain to become President are at - % while Clinton’s prospects are at - %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.
Each Monday, full week results are released based upon a seven-day rolling average. While the daily tracking result are useful for measuring quick reaction to events in the news, the full week results provide an effective means for evaluating longer-term trends.
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Hillary will fight for the Dem nomination until the underworld freezes over.
Hillary losing to McCain doesn’t surprise me. It’s been no secret that she has weaknesses she cannot overcome. But Obama was supposed to be the super-electable uniter and he’s behind by 9%!
And in Gallup, McCain leads him by 3%, by the way
How sweet it is!
.."whatchu talkin about, rasmussen ?"
I’d be surprised if this lasts until November.
Oops!
Operation Chaos.
LOL...Indeed. The effectiveness of Operation Chaos is beyond our wildest dreams....BWWAAAAAAAAA
Obama does well only with voters who never knew or hated their grandmother.
Numbers in this paragraph?
Well here's another nice mess .....
Yes, I noticed that....hmmmmmm
I love it. Lord, I love it.
The Democrats have a perfect chance to win a gimmie. All they had to do was to follow the forumula which they used to elect the two Presidents that they’ve managed to elect in the last FORTY years.
Run a moderate Governor who can be sold as culturally mainstream.
Instead they’re going to run a black ultra-liberal of questionable loyalty?
Whatever the polls say - black ultra-liberal of questionable loyalty versus widely respected moderate war hero is going to end up in a blow-out. In a normal year, I think that we’d be looking at a Reagan 1984 level victory here. Since we have so many problems, though, I think we’ll only get a 350+ EV win.
McCain has been out of the loop except for one small mis-speak on his overseas trip. Wait until he has the Democrat opponent and has to start campaigning again with debates. His numbers will move according to what he does then - up or down depends on him.
“Whatever the polls say - black ultra-liberal of questionable loyalty versus widely respected moderate war hero is going to end up in a blow-out.”
McCain has been popular with independents for far longer than Obama, and will retain that popularity. What’s happening now is what happened with Giuliani and his affair - people are starting to wonder how in the world, this far into the race, this news is just coming out.
McCain will get the Republican vote (versus a socialist who makes Hillary look like a moderate, we can’t justify not doing so), the independent vote, and, yes, the moderate democrat vote. And, Karl Rove’s dream realized, the latino vote! That amnesty boondoggle may pay some unexpected dividends.
It has nothing to do with that.
The polls are 100% about the Wright affair exposing the real Obama.
Unless this is done persistently and patiently, Obama will be our President.
In fact, if we simply Dropped Operation Chaos like a hot potato and got in the groove of Operation Expose Obama ... we’d be getting sonewhere.
“McCain has been popular with independents for far longer than Obama, and will retain that popularity. What’s happening now is what happened with Giuliani and his affair - people are starting to wonder how in the world, this far into the race, this news is just coming out.”
We know the answer: It’s the Hype, Stupid!
The media hype machine is so full of itself that, even though this was known a year ago, it didnt ‘get out there’.
The media did the same thing in 2004. The attempts to cover Kerry’s rear actually backfired because it let the issue fester and let Kerry think his phony campaign was working.
Obama’s phony campaign that disguised his left-liberal divisive voting record with a unifying rhetorical cover story is an exercise in political bait-and-switch.
Whether it succeeds depends CRUCIALLY ON HOW WELL THE INDEPENDENT MEDIA IS ABLE TO AFFECT THE MAJOR MEDIA CONVERSATION. The mainstream liberal media is in the tank for Obama, so they cannot be counted on to do anything but cover for him.
And McCain will not, for his own reasons.
Its up to folks like us to expose Obama.
Basically, McCain only needs to live.
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