If he can even manage to lose like he did in Texas
It’s Official: Obama Wins Texas
4/1/08, 2:27 pm EST
The delegate battle in the Lone Star State goes to Obama 99-94.
To recap, Clinton scored a narrow primary delegate victory 65-61.
In the (ridiculously drawn out) caucus process, Obama won 38-29.
It’s a net of five for Obama.
So let’s revisit the delegate race since March 4:
Clinton wins
Ohio +9
and
Rhode Island +5
Obama wins
Texas +5
and
Vermont +3
and
Wyoming +2
and
Mississippi +7
Texas cancels out Rhode Island. Mississippi and Wyoming cancel out Ohio. Obama’s left with a three delegate surge from Vermont.
And that doesn’t count the 10 new delegates Obama netted at the Iowa county conventions. Or the five more he netted in the final counting of California.
I’ll say it again. The Math is the new black. And it’s a bitch for Clinton.
For more on how Obama secured his stunning victory in the Texas “two step” read this recent cover story from the magazine.
Nice Recap. That’s why all Hildabeast has left is “Electibility” (her own negatives are not important I guess) and Popular Vote Count.
Micheal Barone is smart guy.
He did a detailed analysis and concluded that even WITHOUT do-overs in MI and FL, Hildabeast has a chance to WIN Popular Vote count.
He assumed BIG Victories for Hillary in PA and IN. He also assumed Hillary Victories in DAKOTA and MONTANA.
I believe he is COMPLETELY WRONG in giving Hillary States of South Dakota and Montana. Mountain regions have been the STRONGEST for Obama and in no way Hillary beats him there.
Still he only gave Hillary 30,000 net gain from Dakota and Montana, but overall 100,000 net lead from remaining contests.
So the KEY is that in North Carolina Obama NEEDS to WIN BIG and KEEP it at worst within 5% in PA.
If he wins IN then its over for Hillary. If he keeps it within 1-2% and wins BIG in NC it is still MOST LIKELY over for Hillary.
However, if Obama loses BIG in IN, Hildabeast still got a chance.