Posted on 08/20/2008 9:49:08 PM PDT by lainie
Households worried about the high cost of keeping warm this winter will draw little comfort from the Farmers' Almanac, which predicts below-average temperatures for most of the U.S.
"Numb's the word," says the 192-year-old publication, which claims an accuracy rate of 80 to 85 percent for its forecasts that are prepared two years in advance.
The almanac's 2009 edition, which goes on sale Tuesday, says at least two-thirds of the country can expect colder than average temperatures, with only the Far West and Southeast in line for near-normal readings.
"This is going to be catastrophic for millions of people," said almanac editor Peter Geiger, noting that the frigid forecast combined with high prices for heating fuel is sure to compound problems households will face in keeping warm.
The almanac predicts above-normal snowfall for the Great Lakes and Midwest, especially during January and February, and above-normal precipitation for the Southwest in December and for the Southeast in January and February. The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions should be getting an unusually wet or snowy February, the almanac said.
The forecasts, which are spelled out in three- and four-day periods for each region, are prepared by the almanac's reclusive prognosticator Caleb Weatherbee, who uses a secret formula based on sunspots, the position of the planets and the tidal action of the moon.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.mainetoday.com ...
I have no clue whether this is a sign, but the mid-Atlantic beaches had an invasion of grasshoppers several weeks ago. Plus it has been a relatively mild August. It was down in the 50s last night around Baltimore.
In the past I have noticed that hornets nests would be bigger than normal leading up to harsh winters. I just hope that if it is cold then we get some snow. Last winter was a disappointment. Sloppy weather, but no large accumulations after December.
The title was "The back of the front: keeping the Almanac honest." by Nick Bond of NOAA. I can't seem to find the whole article, without paying, online though I didn't do much of a search.
I looked him up in a search and found several articles by him. He is obviously knowledgeable, and objective in his presentations.
I’ll have to look up his piece on the Farmer’s Almanac to understand fully what his perspective entails.
Thanks for the notes.
Look at all the long range NOAA maps and you can tell that they are 100% in the GLobull Warming Camp. Nowhere for years to come do they forcast below normal temperatures anywhere. It’s either EC (Equal Chances of above or below normal) and Above Normal.
Below normal is no longer forecasted. Idiots! This is one of the coolest Augusts ever here in Ohio.
The Iraqis say that this portends a colder, wetter winter than usual.
I can't say I'd be sorry to see the blast furnace temps end a little early this year.
I heard from a fellow FReeper who is in Kuwait that they're getting clouds down there as well.
sauvignon blanc or cabernet?
The answer might make a difference who I vote for.
I don't remember what year it was, but there was an arctic snap one winter where the high temp didn't get above 4F for 3 or more days. I had to scrape ice off the inside of my windshield with a credit card.
What have your summer temps been like? I live in the Mohave desert but I bet mine aren’t as hot as yours.
They've been normal, but normal is HOT. ;-) I know we were at 119 at about 2:00 p.m. today, but I don't know if that was the high. About an hour after sundown, we were still at 113. I think now, around midnight, we're probably in the upper 90s.
How are things in the Mojave? Prior to my coming here, I had experienced my hottest temperature there...in Tucson in August when it hit 114. I thought that had to be the hottest I would ever feel. Boy, was I wrong. LOL
Leni
>>>Today was even cloudy for a brief time, normally unheard of in August or really until October.
The Iraqis say that this portends a colder, wetter winter than usual.
I can’t say I’d be sorry to see the blast furnace temps end a little early this year.
I like the cooler mornings and pleasent afternoons. We had north wind for most of this week and that is very good news.
The Sewltering temps of tuesday and Wednesday are better.. Today Saturday...The Hunidity felt like Miami in August without the 1600 hrs Cloudburst..hahaha
Hope all is well up North..
LOL! Right you are.
A toast. To the glorious red. He'll turn the water but then charge us four-bucks...for the children.
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