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Farmers' Almanac says cold winter ahead
ap ^ | 8-20-2008

Posted on 08/20/2008 9:49:08 PM PDT by lainie

Households worried about the high cost of keeping warm this winter will draw little comfort from the Farmers' Almanac, which predicts below-average temperatures for most of the U.S.

"Numb's the word," says the 192-year-old publication, which claims an accuracy rate of 80 to 85 percent for its forecasts that are prepared two years in advance.

The almanac's 2009 edition, which goes on sale Tuesday, says at least two-thirds of the country can expect colder than average temperatures, with only the Far West and Southeast in line for near-normal readings.

"This is going to be catastrophic for millions of people," said almanac editor Peter Geiger, noting that the frigid forecast combined with high prices for heating fuel is sure to compound problems households will face in keeping warm.

The almanac predicts above-normal snowfall for the Great Lakes and Midwest, especially during January and February, and above-normal precipitation for the Southwest in December and for the Southeast in January and February. The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions should be getting an unusually wet or snowy February, the almanac said.

The forecasts, which are spelled out in three- and four-day periods for each region, are prepared by the almanac's reclusive prognosticator Caleb Weatherbee, who uses a secret formula based on sunspots, the position of the planets and the tidal action of the moon.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.mainetoday.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: almanac; farmers; weather; winter
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To: lainie

I have no clue whether this is a sign, but the mid-Atlantic beaches had an invasion of grasshoppers several weeks ago. Plus it has been a relatively mild August. It was down in the 50s last night around Baltimore.

In the past I have noticed that hornets nests would be bigger than normal leading up to harsh winters. I just hope that if it is cold then we get some snow. Last winter was a disappointment. Sloppy weather, but no large accumulations after December.


41 posted on 08/21/2008 8:50:32 AM PDT by CollegeRepublican
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To: rockinqsranch
Do you remember the source.

The title was "The back of the front: keeping the Almanac honest." by Nick Bond of NOAA. I can't seem to find the whole article, without paying, online though I didn't do much of a search.

42 posted on 08/21/2008 9:00:05 AM PDT by Live and let live conservative ($)
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To: Live and let live conservative

I looked him up in a search and found several articles by him. He is obviously knowledgeable, and objective in his presentations.

I’ll have to look up his piece on the Farmer’s Almanac to understand fully what his perspective entails.

Thanks for the notes.


43 posted on 08/21/2008 9:22:29 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Say Obama were "Pinky", Then who is "The Brain"?)
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To: Outland

Look at all the long range NOAA maps and you can tell that they are 100% in the GLobull Warming Camp. Nowhere for years to come do they forcast below normal temperatures anywhere. It’s either EC (Equal Chances of above or below normal) and Above Normal.

Below normal is no longer forecasted. Idiots! This is one of the coolest Augusts ever here in Ohio.


44 posted on 08/21/2008 10:05:48 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: lainie; philly-d-kidder; Arrowhead1952
Baghdad is getting puffy white clouds in the sky about a month earlier than usual. Today was even cloudy for a brief time, normally unheard of in August or really until October.

The Iraqis say that this portends a colder, wetter winter than usual.

I can't say I'd be sorry to see the blast furnace temps end a little early this year.

I heard from a fellow FReeper who is in Kuwait that they're getting clouds down there as well.

45 posted on 08/21/2008 12:13:48 PM PDT by Allegra (It's above my pay grade.)
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To: MinuteGal

sauvignon blanc or cabernet?

The answer might make a difference who I vote for.


46 posted on 08/21/2008 1:41:04 PM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: CollegeRepublican
I lived in northern VA for many years so I know what those kinds of winters are like. It's disappointing and gets really annoying. OTOH I also remember the 'storm of the century' year and the straight week off from work with 3 major snowstorms in late winter.

I don't remember what year it was, but there was an arctic snap one winter where the high temp didn't get above 4F for 3 or more days. I had to scrape ice off the inside of my windshield with a credit card.

47 posted on 08/21/2008 1:44:36 PM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: Allegra

What have your summer temps been like? I live in the Mohave desert but I bet mine aren’t as hot as yours.


48 posted on 08/21/2008 1:46:27 PM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: lainie
What have your summer temps been like?

They've been normal, but normal is HOT. ;-) I know we were at 119 at about 2:00 p.m. today, but I don't know if that was the high. About an hour after sundown, we were still at 113. I think now, around midnight, we're probably in the upper 90s.

How are things in the Mojave? Prior to my coming here, I had experienced my hottest temperature there...in Tucson in August when it hit 114. I thought that had to be the hottest I would ever feel. Boy, was I wrong. LOL

49 posted on 08/21/2008 2:20:38 PM PDT by Allegra (It's above my pay grade.)
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To: lainie
I don't know what kind, but we know it will be red.

Leni

50 posted on 08/21/2008 6:46:59 PM PDT by MinuteGal (Stay Home in Nov & Vote for Obama-ization, More Regulation, Taxation, Litigation and Ginsburgization)
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To: Allegra

>>>Today was even cloudy for a brief time, normally unheard of in August or really until October.

The Iraqis say that this portends a colder, wetter winter than usual.

I can’t say I’d be sorry to see the blast furnace temps end a little early this year.


Sorry, but I missed some pings yesterday, and noticed this one. We are cooling of early here. We usually get some rains in late August - right before dove season, but this year we are getting those early.

I like the cooler mornings and pleasent afternoons. We had north wind for most of this week and that is very good news.


51 posted on 08/22/2008 5:16:47 AM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (A vote for any Democrat from BO on down the ticket is a vote for $10 a gallon gas.)
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To: Allegra

The Sewltering temps of tuesday and Wednesday are better.. Today Saturday...The Hunidity felt like Miami in August without the 1600 hrs Cloudburst..hahaha
Hope all is well up North..


52 posted on 08/22/2008 7:20:54 PM PDT by philly-d-kidder (Kuwait where the Temperature has been above 100 F since Easter Sunday and rain is only in the Movies)
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To: MinuteGal

LOL! Right you are.

A toast. To the glorious red. He'll turn the water but then charge us four-bucks...for the children.

53 posted on 08/22/2008 11:51:28 PM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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