Obama’s locked into his “Change” slogan. He can’t name Hillary. If he does, he has to rechristen his campaign “Same Old.”
You’ve got that right!
I'll be shocked if it's Hillary, for the reason you give and also because I highly doubt she wants it. She's already been VP for eight years. Does she want to do another eight, only this time exiled to the Naval Observatory mansion? It's lose-lose for her: either eight years as VP or a loss on her record. She's going to sit this one out and hope for another try in 2012.