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MAKE OR BREAK FOR BARACK
boblonsberry.com ^ | 08/28/08 | Bob Lonsberry

Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:11 AM PDT by shortstop

DENVER – He better hit it big tonight.

As it turns out, the Barack Obama campaign could come down to one speech in one football stadium in one Rocky Mountain town.

For all the sunshine and smiles here in Denver, if we're being honest, it's do or die for the change you can believe in. John McCain has slapped one cheek, Hillary Clinton has slapped the other and if he's not careful, Barack Obama could be down for the count.

That sounds nuts, doesn't it? Every talking head in America has this guy walking on water. But the reality is he's walking on eggshells and it's been a very bad week for Barack Obama.

First, John McCain.

Gallup, for the first time, shows John McCain in the lead. On the second day of his convention, at the glorious celebration of all things Democrat, with the much ballyhooed vice-presidential nomination announced with wall-to-wall coverage, Barack Obama lost ground in the polls.

The Inevitable One became The Trailing One.

What you hear is America saying, “No thanks.”

Second, and more importantly, Hillary Clinton.

The last thing Barack Obama wants to be at his own convention is the second-best speaker, and after Hillary Clinton's speech on Tuesday night, it'll be a miracle if he comes up with anything better than a silver.

Stand back, here comes unrestrained praise.

I'm a Republican to the bone, and I'll vote for McCain if I have to come back from the dead to do it. But the Hillary Clinton speech at the Democratic National Convention was one of the best political speeches in either party for the last several years. I don't agree with her policies or her conclusions, but there was a substance and a charisma and a logic to her presentation that was – please don't strike me dead – presidential.

She did what she had to do. She laid out the agenda of the Democratic Party. Not nebulous con-game crap about hope and change and bridges and today is our day, but the things that Democrats really believe in and really want to see enacted.

And she did it with humor and inspiration and a delivery that was far better than that offered by anyone else to take the convention podium.

And you just know that as they listened, a great many Democrats in the hall and across the country wondered if they had made a mistake. That sick feeling in the pit of their stomach is known as buyer's remorse. The candidate who gave that talk Tuesday night could beat John McCain. And yet that candidate is not on the Democratic ticket. She was rejected.

And there is one standard against which Barack Obama will be measured – it is the standard of Hillary Clinton.

And she set the bar extraordinarily high.

The memory of her performance – of her strength – will be clear in the minds of Democrats as the dog-and-pony show plays out on Thursday night. And heaven help Barack if he falls short.

Because it will be hard to convince Republicans and independents if you can't convince Democrats.

It may turn out that the most compelling argument for Democrats to rally to Barack Obama comes from Hillary Clinton, not Barack Obama. She was right. It's not about personalities, it's about principles. They didn't campaign for her exactly, they campaigned for what they believe in.

Again, I don't share those beliefs. I think they are wrong-headed.

But a Democrat's got just as much right in America as anybody else. And a Democrat's got just as much right in America to influence our government as anybody else.

I disagree with their beliefs, but I respect the sincerity and passion of those beliefs.

And it would be a shame for those beliefs to get less than fair consideration because the Democratic Party picked the wrong candidate.

And we'll find out tonight if that happened.

The polls show that, at least for now, America thinks Barack Obama is the second-best candidate.

It'd be too bad if it thought he was also the second-best Democrat.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; hillary; lonsberry; obama
What do Barack Obama and Osama bin Laden have in common? They both have friends that have bombed the Pentagon.
1 posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:11 AM PDT by shortstop
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To: shortstop
"He better hit it big tonight."

He'll be the good, tele-prompted man he has always been. Even if he falls flat on his face, the MSM have already written glowing accounts of his performance with a few blanks in their copy for insertion later tonight which will lead the reader that the writer was there and wowed.

2 posted on 08/28/2008 8:31:05 AM PDT by MarkT
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To: shortstop
MAKE OR BREAK FOR BARACK

I hope he screws up on live TV while showing off his "feed 85,000 people with two loaves of bread and a couple of fish" trick.

3 posted on 08/28/2008 8:31:50 AM PDT by musicman
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To: MarkT

Too bad that one great speech “makes the candidate”.


4 posted on 08/28/2008 8:33:23 AM PDT by Ceoman
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To: MarkT

Too bad that one great speech “makes the candidate”.


5 posted on 08/28/2008 8:33:24 AM PDT by Ceoman
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To: shortstop
Exactly! No matter how BHO says it we have Rev. Wright and Ayers ringing in our memory. BHO’s tax plan stymies growth. That is a proven fact. His give away/spending programs stymies long term growth. BHO’s judgment calls, i.e. not visiting the Troops in Landstuhl rings in our memory. BHO’s statements on Russia's invasion of Georgia (no, Georgia cannot invade its own territory) rings in our memory. So, yes BHO will mention that NOW is our moment, NOW the oceans will stop rising and the planet will heal, and NOW is the moment we have all been waiting for and it will NOW ring on deaf ears.
6 posted on 08/28/2008 8:33:31 AM PDT by Chgogal (Voting "Present" 130 times might be a sign of a smart politician. It is not a sign of a good leader.)
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To: MarkT

It’s funny when we see threads like this. Of course he’ll give a good speech, but it will lack any substance whatsoever (as usual). Afterwards, the MSM will be in tears, and hugging each other over the wonderfulness that is the Obamassiah. Sheesh, gimme a break.


7 posted on 08/28/2008 8:36:32 AM PDT by myexstalksme
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To: shortstop

Ping


8 posted on 08/28/2008 8:37:25 AM PDT by myuhaul
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To: shortstop

They should have graffiti “artists” tag the Temple to give it that Chicago urban feel.


9 posted on 08/28/2008 8:38:39 AM PDT by Uncledave (Zombie Reagan '08)
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To: shortstop
re: But a Democrat's got just as much right in America as anybody else. And a Democrat's got just as much right in America to influence our government as anybody else.)))

This is kind of an irony. Obviously I agree with him. But liberals don't acknowledge the right of conservatives to exist.

Who would do a liberal out of a job? Well, a liberal would love to get you fired. That's the difference between the two ideologies.

10 posted on 08/28/2008 8:44:39 AM PDT by Mamzelle
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To: shortstop

This is classic telegraphing. We will hear from a hundred prognosticators about how critically important it is for he-whose-full-name-must-not-be-spoken to do well this evening. And then, those same one hundred prognosticators will tell us for the next 72 hours about how he met and exceeded those expectations. The sycophants who love him will believe and thus he-whose-full-name-must-not-be-spoken can finally make his final ascendence to Supreme Overlord and Great One.


11 posted on 08/28/2008 8:46:45 AM PDT by AD from SpringBay (We deserve the government we allow.)
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To: shortstop

The very idea that one speech can get anyone elected despite the abundance of evidence that would otherwise show them unqualified is beyond absurd.

As far as I know “The One” will enjoy the same bounce every other candidate in history enjoys because of their Convention, possibly up to 10 points. But then Mccain has his and all attention is on him and it all evens out.

We all know the media is 100% in the tank for Hussein and I expect their polling will reflect this right down the line after the speech this evening. It won’t matter what he says or if he falls off the podium, it will be universally hailed as the greatest speech ever given by anyone since speeches have been given.

My guess is the polls have already been taken in this regard and the networks and print media are just waiting to release them over a span of about 7 days beginning 2 days after the “ones” ends his Convention.


12 posted on 08/28/2008 9:04:01 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: shortstop

GEE! I hope nothing happens to his teleprompter.... Snicker snicker


13 posted on 08/28/2008 9:11:02 AM PDT by noname07718 (Freedom is never more than one generation from extinction-Ronald Reagan 1993)
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To: shortstop

marking for later


14 posted on 08/28/2008 9:12:40 AM PDT by Christian4Bush (About Obama: "Overinflated balloons pop suddenly and catastrophically." - Bill Dupray)
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To: 101voodoo
As far as I know “The One” will enjoy the same bounce every other candidate in history enjoys because of their Convention, possibly up to 10 points.

Nope, he's actually falling in the polls.

15 posted on 08/28/2008 9:19:51 AM PDT by Centurion2000 (Define yourself by what you do, not by your ideology, belief, origins, genitals, etc ....)
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To: noname07718

I’ve been wishing for not only a teleprompter malfunction, but also a “wardrobe malfunction”.... :)


16 posted on 08/28/2008 9:29:10 AM PDT by El Laton Caliente (NRA Member & www.Gunsnet.net Moderator)
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To: shortstop

No matter what kind of speech he gives tonight I think most people will see it for what it is, a bunch of soaring nothingness platitudes.

The guy has in his recent background Rezko, Wright, and Ayers. Not to mention his bad judgments on the national security fronts.

The guy has hardly performed as a Senator, he got there by disqualifying his opponents.


17 posted on 08/28/2008 9:29:20 AM PDT by valkyry1
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To: valkyry1

I say break since he has this Greek type prop! It screams arrogance-he ain’t no MLK and to try and pretend he is on the anniversary of the I have a Dream speech I think is a huge mistake on O’s part. He is already just a bag of wind and this is going to make him look lke a bigger ass.


18 posted on 08/28/2008 9:32:43 AM PDT by LYSandra
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: El Laton Caliente

EWUEEE! The possible visuala just made me forget ABOUT LUNCH.


20 posted on 08/28/2008 10:21:01 AM PDT by noname07718 (Freedom is never more than one generation from extinction-Ronald Reagan 1993)
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To: shortstop
It may turn out that the most compelling argument for Democrats to rally to Barack Obama comes from Hillary Clinton, not Barack Obama. She was right. It's not about personalities, it's about principles. They didn't campaign for her exactly, they campaigned for what they believe in.

The problem for Obama is that he is campaigning on the basis of personality, not the issues. He defeated the vaunted Clinton machine with this strategy. Why change it now?

21 posted on 08/28/2008 10:25:05 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Centurion2000

I think the extent of the bounce will not be known until Tuesday, 9/2 because the reliable tracking polls work on a 3 day rolling average and Tuesday will be the first reporting day after Hussein’s speech that will include all three of the days of sampling.

I certainly hope you are right but we actually won’t know until 9/2. Even then there will be confusion because we will have McCain announcing his VP.


22 posted on 08/28/2008 2:16:14 PM PDT by 101voodoo
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