Rassmussen is telling us something here though cryptically.
For a variety of reasons, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is less volatile than some other polls and always shows a somewhat smaller convention bounce than reported by others. This is primarily because we weight our results by party identification (see methodology). Looking at the data before adjusting for partisan identification, the Republican convention appears to have created a larger surge in party identification than the Democratic convention the week before. If this lasts, it could have a significant impact on Election 2008.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama voters now say they are voting with enthusiasm for their candidate while 17% are primarily voting against the other candidate. For McCain, those numbers are 65% and 28% respectively. Before the Republican convention, just 54% of McCain voters were voting enthusiastically for him rather than simply voting against Obama.
Basically what you are seeing is the conventions were a wash, and the blatantly obvious trend and movement toward McCain has continued and will continue until election day short of some massive shake up or unforseen event.
Tommorrow and the next few days after that are the ones I’m looking for, as they will start including numbers from this week, not friday and weekend numbers.
The trend was clearly toward McCain before either convention, and post both convention it certainly seems like the trend is continuing. The next update of the EC states should be interesting. Last one prior to both conventions showed every state that moved, moved right. Post convention I don’t see this trend not continuing.
Fauxbama has lost the race, lets face it, this weekend he’s on the talk shows arguing we shouldn’t be comparing resumes but simply voting for parties.... that’s a fundamental signal of a loss. Even if folks vote party, that’s not an argument folks want to hear or will motivate them. Ignore the man, just vote the party.
I know the press and bloggers are jumping all over his “my muslim faith” flub, but that’s not the real story. The story is Fauxbama not by mistake, not by slip, but with intentional forethought is promiting that voters should just ignore the candidate and vote party. That’s utterly stupid, and should be what everyone should be jumping on.
I can’t defend or given you a cogent reason to vote for ME, but vote for my party. That’s an insane argument, and its largely been ignored.