Obama can count on DC and Massachusetts..the only states carried by George McGovern in 1972....and likely Illinois carried by the legions of dead voters.
A decent indicator is Gov. races. The last Gov. race in Washington was a tie, then the Dems made up some ballots and stole it.
The Oregon Gov’s races have been surprisingly close, but it does look like Oregon is slipping firmly into the Dem orbit and probably won’t elect GOP Gov anytime soon.