What I don’t understand is how Rasmussen’s polls fail to reflect a 23 point swing in white women voters in favor of McCain. That is a pretty big share of the voting public and a big swing. For the Rasmussen polls to be showing about what they were before the conventions he must be seeing a similar swing in Obama’s direction from some other demographic group. I’d like to know what that group is.
Exactly.
I haven’t seen the internals, so I honestly can’t speculate.