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If Obama has to fight to keep MI and PA, he is is in real trouble. McCain is solidifying OH and FL.

BINGO. It is not so much that we may win Michigan (the fraud in Detroit is probably impossible to overcome unless we are 10 points up), but the fact that Obama had to spend a lot of this week in Pennsylvania. Any day he is in a blue state from 2004 is a day he is not in Virginia, Ohio or Colorado.

Picking up Pennsylvania is probably possible and would go a long way towards making up for problems we are having en New Mexico and Nevada. Obama's great lakes difficulty in Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan is unlikely to be a game changer. They do offer a fantastic distraction, forcing team Obama to spend a lot of time in states he didn't think he had to worry about, and allowing us to shore up our week points. Who knows the "Gales of November" could come early and blow Obama all the way back to Chicago.