So he is slightly over 50%, that lead can diminish quickly especially if McCain does well in the economic debate happening in October. If I am correct this is nothing special. This is what the polls, for better or for worse, have been telling us about how people think the economy should be handled for a while, I think that was even claimed in 2004. I think that there is sort of a psychology that explains it but only 9 points ahead? Than the MOE accounts for at least three points, so it might be only 6 points ahead shifting Obama back to the 40%. It also seems like 5% are undecided if this isn’t an even 100% when adding the two. So in all details, this lead can be utterly destroyed.
11 point bounce in 2 weeks? I somehow doubt the electorate is this fickle.
Yes, the economic meltdown has dominated the news. But what exactly has Obama done so great to demonstrate his superior economic skills during this crisis? Nothing, NADA.
I have followed elections very closely since 1980. And polling since 2000. I have never seen polls bounce around like they are this year.
If their goal is to depress folks, it may work.