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To: kesg
Yep. If we correct the bias by pulling up either the number of Republicans or lowering the number of Democrats to a four point spread, Obama's alleged double digit lead among likely voters vanishes. 52 minus 4 is 48 and 43 plus 4 is 47. There's no change in the race! Jedi mind trick indeed because the disparity in the party ID weighing does not matched real world turnout for past presidential elections. ABC/Washington Post should be ashamed of themselves for peddling such an obvious lie but they won't be. Let's not fall for it!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

77 posted on 09/23/2008 10:18:30 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Or, perhaps oversimplifying, reduce the nine point spread by 60%, representing the difference between the 10 point Dem lead in the poll to a 4 point Dem lead reflecting a much more realistic spread based on past election data in Presidential elecitons. This translates to a 3-4 point lead, which is probably much closer to what it actually was during the four days that were polled (9/18-9/21).


96 posted on 09/23/2008 10:39:53 PM PDT by kesg
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