[InterceptPoint]

"I think Rasmussen got close to being right in 2004. But that probably doesn't mean he’s better, just that he lucked out. Someone else may luck out this time."

Probably so.

But I still like Rasmussen and Battleground better than the rest mostly because they don't jerk us up and down as fast as most of the polls. Part of that is methodology I'm sure but some of it is, I'm hoping, a reluctance to play politics with their data which is common in many of the polls that we read daily.

[Wilder Effect]

I agree. RAS did great in 2004, but where was Scott in Sept 2004. His final results were terrific, but where was he 5 weeks out?

Anybody have a chart on 2004 RAS?

[1035rep]

But I still like Rasmussen and Battleground better than the rest

New Battleground poll also shows McCain in the lead.