I would say 30 days is about right. I was expecting it to stay right around tied with McCain up a point, then McCain’s team launches a massive last 2 week offensive on Rev Wright/Ayers/Rezko/Socialism etc etc to get the “last impression”.
That of course was before the financial debacle happened. Assuming that will be the “ October surprise” and nothing else happens, ramping up 2 weeks earlier might help.
The problem? I think that needed to be the last impression, to create doubt.
Now it might be a case of allowing Obama too much time to recover that last few days. But it is dicey to game it too closely.
They have to just launch it now and hope for the best.
I agree, 30 days is enough time to create a narrative and he has the money to do it, I think people should keep in mind the money is still in Obamao’s Corner, as well as all of the free media coverage he could want.
McCain also had the Economy turn to doggy poo at the worst time, he should put Obama’s hand on everyone’s wallet and in everyone’s sportsmen’s gun cabinet.
Shakey assumption, imo. This ratbastard is playing for keeps, and as a political radical he will stop at nothing. I still expect a major racial incident, spun as a "hate crime", and blamed on the GOP. The media will go berserk on McCain and he will flip out, grovelling and generally blowing whatever momentum he has at the time.
I hope I'm wrong.
There are enough skeletons in Obama's closet to expose a fresh one each and every day until the election. I don't think he'd be able to recover from any of them if Obama has to explain them all. In fact they can be used to make Obama trip himself up with his own lies he uses to explain them all away. Could be interesting and fun,
But I'll believe it when I see it.
It’s all about the timing. You want to peak Nov. 4.