[andy58-in-nh]

PA is becoming a necessary rather than a “nice-to-have” state for McCain. Virginia is going to be very close, and I am afraid that Colorado is now unwinnable. I would not have believed that four years ago, but apparently something dramatic has happened to the voter base out there (California influx?).

[impeachedrapist]

PA is becoming a necessary rather than a “nice-to-have” state for McCain. Virginia is going to be very close, and I am afraid that Colorado is now unwinnable.

Nope, gotta strongly disagree with you. The GOP is sending in hundreds of volunteers and staff to CO. Palin just did three events in CO, and McCain is doing two more events there on Friday. It's quite winnable. It's just gonna require a fistfight. I think VA is in as good or better shape than CO. PA is not necessary for McCain. But it is necessary for the Obamessiah.

[impeachedrapist]

Something to keep in mind. In 2000 Bush won CO by 9 points. In 2004 he won it by 5 points.

In 2004 polls showed Colorado very close. Here's one in Oct 04 with a 49-49 tie.

So could Obama win CO? Sure, but it's by no means a lock. I'll be surprised if he actually comes within four points of McCain there.