Just making an observation. McCain is not getting all the undecideds, but by the graph you posted, it seems that as the # of undecideds goes down, so does Obama’s lead.
you’ve gotta remember that weekend results are included in this rolling average.....weekends are bad for repubs.
The Saturday poll, November 1st, will be the most accurate poll. At least that is what I think. If we are within 3, we win.
As Bill Greener argued in a Salon article ( http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2008/10/27/undecideds/ which was discussed in a FR thread recently), it doesn’t really matter so much whether McCain narrows the gap entirely. Greener believes that the undecideds will break decisively for McCain more so than they did even for Bush in 2004 because in this election a significant number of people tell pollsters they are undecided in order to avoid saying they are against Obama. Call it Bradley effect or PUMA effect or whatever you wish, but he thinks that as long as the polls aren’t showing Obama having well above 50 % of the “decideds,” he’s going to get a decided minority of the undecideds. So the fact that Obama can’t consistently break 50 %, certainly not above the margin of errror, even in these polls with their probably Rat-tilted “likely voter” projections, is good news.