Clark is heavily democrat, but Washoe County (Reno) also has had a larger Democrat turnout as well during the early voting. Washoe County is traditionally more republican, but in the last few years, parts of Reno have been trending more Democrat. Democrat registration in Washoe County is higher than Republican this year.
The fact that Washoe County has more registered dems than Republicans points to two things. First of all many Republicans disenchanted with the state of the party and leaving it have cut into the margin. Secondly the dem voter registation efforts have been far more aggressive than our own which is predictable. I get around Reno alot given my line of work and based on signage I would say that the level of support for the O’bama is somewhat less than it was for the French candidate four year ago.
Anecdotally, I live in Spanish Springs, solidly Republican district but 4 years ago the Bush-Cheney signs outnumbered the Kerry signs in my area by about 5-3. This year I make the same drive and McCain-Palin signs outnumber O’bama signs by 12-1. I think the messiah’s support may be broad right now, but it isn’t deep, especially in Nevada.
Final thought, Jill Derby has been challenging Dean Heller for NV CD-2 in a race heavily financed by the DNC. Last poll had her 7% behind. I think that if and thats a big IF that lead is close to being realistic, then McCain will win Northern and rural Nevada by a wider margin than Bush. Hopefully it will be enough to offset the voter fraud in Vegas.