It is going to be worse for Obama.
Kerry at least kept his base intact.
Obama is going to lose at least 20% of that base, Hillary voters and Reagan Democrats.
No one can survive losing that many votes.
The MSM has this delusion that he is going to make up those votes from getting more Black votes and the youth vote, but nothing in early voting has indicated any huge turnout for him.
I think he also going to have problems with Latino's simply because many are not going to vote for a Black man to be President.
Gun owners are also fired up.
Kerry kept about 37% of them, but I have read that Obama is down to 30%.
That is crucial in hunting states like Pa and Minn.
Frankly, I don't see Obama getting higher then 45-47% of the vote.
I’ll be surprised if Obama loses that much of his base. But just losing a little of it will be devastating. And the larger McCain/Palin’s winning margin is, the more likely the GOP wins the House seats I’ve listed above, plus a few vulnerable incumbents and the 29 open seats they’re defending due to retirement.