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To: impeachedrapist
This certainly does remind me of 2004. The Dems and media were convinced that the Dems would have a huge turnout. And they were right. But they never realized how ticked off the conservative base was at the Left's juvenile behavior and the media's water carrying for Kerry. It's as bad or worse four years later. I pray that tonight they're even more stunned than they were four years ago.

It is going to be worse for Obama.

Kerry at least kept his base intact.

Obama is going to lose at least 20% of that base, Hillary voters and Reagan Democrats.

No one can survive losing that many votes.

The MSM has this delusion that he is going to make up those votes from getting more Black votes and the youth vote, but nothing in early voting has indicated any huge turnout for him.

I think he also going to have problems with Latino's simply because many are not going to vote for a Black man to be President.

Gun owners are also fired up.

Kerry kept about 37% of them, but I have read that Obama is down to 30%.

That is crucial in hunting states like Pa and Minn.

Frankly, I don't see Obama getting higher then 45-47% of the vote.

7 posted on 11/04/2008 7:23:41 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (AMERICANS-PREPARE FOR GLORY!)
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To: fortheDeclaration; jveritas; kesg; PhiKapMom; LS; Perdogg; TitansAFC

I’ll be surprised if Obama loses that much of his base. But just losing a little of it will be devastating. And the larger McCain/Palin’s winning margin is, the more likely the GOP wins the House seats I’ve listed above, plus a few vulnerable incumbents and the 29 open seats they’re defending due to retirement.


8 posted on 11/04/2008 7:29:34 AM PST by impeachedrapist (Bill Clinton, as Arkansas Attorney General did you make Juanita Broaddrick pay for her rape kit?)
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