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Notes from the collapse ( of the Republican turnout )
Hot Air ^ | November 5, 2008 10:35 am | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 11/05/2008 2:40:41 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

This morning, after having absorbed the substantial victory of Barack Obama, I noticed a couple of interesting items in the data.  Barack Obama certainly won this race, but he won it with just a little more votes than George Bush won in his re-election bid, and the turnout models came up short.

In 2004, Bush beat John Kerry by winning 62.04 million votes.  In 2008, Obama won 62.443 million, a gain of only 400,000. In 2004, Kerry garnered 59.028 million votes; John McCain only got 55.386 million.   That means this election saw 3.24 million fewer votes than four years ago.  Far from being more energized, the nation appeared to be more apathetic.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; mccain; obama; palin
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The college kids came out in record numbers. Evidence of this is in Franklin Cty., Ohio, where Columbus is situated. This is also the county that houses Ohio State. The reason so many of these key counties (including Summit County as well) went to Obama can be attributed directly to this.


21 posted on 11/05/2008 2:55:49 PM PST by Paved Paradise
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To: chippewaman
""are living in their parent’s basement""

Then they join the DU and complain how unfair Republicans are.

22 posted on 11/05/2008 2:59:02 PM PST by just me (Children should be educated and instructed in the principles of freedom. (John Adams)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

This makes no sense. Everyone was reporting the most insanely long lines they had ever seen...


23 posted on 11/05/2008 2:59:19 PM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: Rain-maker

I’m wondering how many of those were legitimate votes versus ACORN repeats. If the vote and campaign finance systems were cleaned up I think the story would be different. I think there was a lot of foreign money behind the 0 and more voting fraud then usual. but will this be examined - NO. Our Country as we knew it is done.
Sorry to rant but I most blow off somewhere.


24 posted on 11/05/2008 2:59:22 PM PST by mcshot (Bitterly Loving God, Family, and Guns more then ever. The Constitution Dammit.)
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To: CaribouCrossing

Actually, from what I’ve heard, about 60-80% of African Americans consider themselves conservative - but always vote for Democrats. Since they’re about 12% of the total electorate, they may account for a large amount of those who voted D...


25 posted on 11/05/2008 3:02:05 PM PST by KeatsforFirstDog
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To: kingattax

“the point of concern is that mccain received 7 million fewer votes than bush got in 2004. thats very troublesome. that certainly needs to be looked at and solved.”

Note to next GOP President (whenever that comes):
- Dont screw up a war
- Dont spend like drunken sailor
- Dont PO your base
- Dont let a financial crisis hit 6 weeks before an election on your watch


26 posted on 11/05/2008 3:05:06 PM PST by WOSG (STOP OBAMA'S SOCIALISM - Change we need: Replace the Democrat Congress)
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To: lainie
It might’ve worked out better if the GOP had put up a better candidate. Just a thought.
"If God had meant us to vote, He would have given us candidates." Joseph Sobran

27 posted on 11/05/2008 3:05:09 PM PST by nonsporting
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To: chippewaman

The polls said it was the 18-29 year olds voting for obama but the college students made up a majority of that. That was also evident by all the reported campus parties last evening. I don’t believe anything the way I did when I was in college. I was dumb and naive about politics back then but thought I knew it all. I am proud that my 3 grown kids voted for McCain because they looked at the issues and what was better for our economy, security instead of a 500$ check to buy their vote.


28 posted on 11/05/2008 3:05:30 PM PST by Kadanne (Truth and integrity in America)
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To: AmericaUnited

Just this very minute Britt Hume reported on the “record” turnout.


29 posted on 11/05/2008 3:06:10 PM PST by Murp
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To: KeatsforFirstDog

Amazing, isn’t it? If 60-80% consider themselves conservative, then the only reason they would be voting for the Dems would be for welfare programs. Many of them have family in the military, and the Dems are not kind to the military, so I can’t imagine that would be a big reason for their support of the Dems.


30 posted on 11/05/2008 3:06:50 PM PST by CaribouCrossing
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To: Rain-maker
Highest turnout rate that we've seen since 1908, which was 65.7 percent...

That counters what the article says..........

That means this election saw 3.24 million fewer votes than four years ago.

AP Lies again....

31 posted on 11/05/2008 3:13:15 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: CaribouCrossing

No, you heard that 20% of conservatives VOTED FOR OBAMA.


32 posted on 11/05/2008 3:13:57 PM PST by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I think McCain would have won if not for the collapse of banks and the market some 6 weeks ago.
Once that happened, people simply said “Who is President now”?
Answer - George Bush, the guy who we have suffered this war which isn’t easy with.

Rather than take the time to look into who was really responsible (Clinton, Democrats), instead many voters just voted against Republicans and President Bush.
The stupid thing about it of course is that those who voted for a change because of these banks and market collapses instead voted in the source of the problems. They basically rewarded the bad ones who caused the problems with more power.

IDIOTIC IMO.


33 posted on 11/05/2008 3:20:18 PM PST by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: KoRn
I might agree. But...

A poll worker / vote counter from Ohio posted something here yesterday evening. It seems his county - a reliable Republican county - got an EIGHTY PERCENT turnout yesterday. This in a county that beat Kerry by only 2% in 2004, because Democrats turned out so hard that year, trying to win Ohio for Kerry. I forget the percent of Republicans he said voted in 2004, but it was less than 80%.

So, with an 80% turnout of Republicans yesterday, surely they walked all over the Democrats in this county in Ohio this year, right?

NO, actually. Obama took the county by a 33% margin, with LESS Dim participation than in 2004. Which means that about 25% or maybe even 30% of the Republicans voted for Obama. Or maybe almost 100% of the "no party" voters went for Obama.

Why didn't we get the "granny" vote? We gave them a billion dollars of free medication, exactly for the reason of buying those votes.

Why didn't we get the illegal alien vote? Neither Bush nor McCain has any interest in enforcing our border laws.

Like Rush said, a lot of Republicans lost yesterday. So what - conservatives haven't run a candidate since 1994.

34 posted on 11/05/2008 3:21:13 PM PST by willgolfforfood
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To: Rain-maker
From the AP article:

It looks like 136.6 million Americans will have voted for president this election, based on 88 percent of the country's precincts tallied and projections for absentee ballots

That means there are a lot of absentee ballots yet to be counted.....

Is this really over>>>>?????

Obama had 62.443 million and McCain got 55.386 million....I think that adds up to slightly below 118,000,000...which according to the projection of the professor leaves 16.6 million votes yet to be counted.

35 posted on 11/05/2008 3:21:24 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: KeatsforFirstDog
the youth did not turn out again dude, and I believe that a good percentage of african americans are church going Conservatives but they voted race over ideology, in CA and FL they still voted down gay marriage but for them to have a chance to vote for the first african american president was something they had to do
conservatism isn't dead moderates are
36 posted on 11/05/2008 3:21:43 PM PST by edzo4 (Vote McCain, Keep Your Change)
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I think Karl Rove said the young turnout was about the same as 2004 but what did it for Obama was what did it for us in the past.

Obama picked off I think 10% more of the Evangelicals then Kerry. I think 5% more of the Independents then Kerry, Really high AA turnout blah blah blah


37 posted on 11/05/2008 3:27:53 PM PST by KavMan
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To: wequalswinner

“No, you heard that 20% of conservatives VOTED FOR OBAMA.”

Thank you. Someone else also clarified that for me. :)


38 posted on 11/05/2008 3:28:43 PM PST by CaribouCrossing
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To: CaribouCrossing
I bet that 20% also claims to support our military and their missions but decided that putting them in more peril was worth the price of their vote.
Can you imagine uping for the military under "that one?" He doesn't have any use for them. Brownshirts, maybe - but an actual military?

39 posted on 11/05/2008 3:30:02 PM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (The conceit of journalistic objectivity is profoundly subversive of democratic principle.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

McCain was DOLE 2;

only this time with a bit of conservative window dressing (Palin).

McCain went on a foolhardy view that the so called supposed air of running a respectful campain would provide cover for the fact that McCain was too damn occupied with not giving away the store of accrued favors and years of insider entanglements so as upset his own Washingtonian apple cart.

McCain unable to highlight enough differences of his own less blatant globalist socialist perspective with respect to Obama’s more blatant socialist perspective.

Palin was his prop.

And his own cynical tepid sales job was seen for what it was.


40 posted on 11/05/2008 3:30:50 PM PST by So Circumstanced
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