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McCain’s Re-Election Prospects Look Strong in Arizona [Nuts!]
Congressional Quarterly ^ | 2009-02-28 | Anne L. Kim

Posted on 01/28/2009 7:18:21 AM PST by rabscuttle385

Republican John McCain intends to run in 2010 for a fifth term in the U.S. Senate, and the recent history of senators thwarted in bids for president suggests he’ll be able to rebound smartly from his loss to Democrat Barack Obama in last November’s White House contest.

John Kerry, the Massachusetts Democrat who narrowly lost in 2004 to President George W. Bush, coasted to an easy victory last year for a fifth Senate term. Even South Dakota Democrat George S. McGovern, fresh off his 1972 landslide defeat at the hands of President Richard M. Nixon, came back to win a third Senate term in 1974, though he lost when he went to that well one more time in 1980.

Obama even gave McCain a big break by taking his strongest potential Arizona Democratic challenger out of the picture. Obama selected Janet Napolitano, a popular governor due to run up against the state’s term-limit law in 2010, as his pick to head the Department of Homeland Security. Until she accepted the Cabinet post, Napolitano appeared likely to run for the Senate in 2010, and early hypothetical polls suggested she would be a strong contender.

No one else appears poised to provide such a threat with Napolitano moved on to Washington. The most recent Democratic Senate nominee was Jim Pederson, a wealthy real estate developer who ran a vigorous campaign in 2006 but nonetheless lost to Republican incumbent Jon Kyl by a substantial 10 percentage-point margin. “I doubt he would take on McCain,” said Bruce Merrill, a pollster and professor emeritus at Arizona State University’s Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication.

Merrill said of McCain, “I really don’t think he’s going to have much difficulty being re-elected.”

(Excerpt) Read more at cqpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: 2010; amnesty; az2010; immigration; mcbama; mccain; mccaintruthfile; mclame; mcqueeg; rino; senate; ussenate
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Also, FTA:

McCain also needs to refurbish the image that he has sought to burnish throughout his Senate career — as a political maverick willing to buck his party on some major issues....yet he must do so without alienating, and possibly inciting a primary challenge, from the potent conservative wing of the Arizona Republican Party, which has not always been thrilled when McCain has strayed from party orthodoxy on issues such as immigration, campaign finance regulation and global climate change.

Nuts!

1 posted on 01/28/2009 7:18:21 AM PST by rabscuttle385
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To: rabscuttle385

Well, we should do a fundraiser for whomeever opposes McCain.


2 posted on 01/28/2009 7:19:04 AM PST by MeanWestTexan (Beware Obama's Reichstag fire.)
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To: MaggieCarta; indylindy; roamer_1; calcowgirl; djsherin; Sunnyflorida; SoConPubbie; Sybeck1; ...

The Juan McCain Truth File.

"I have great respect for Al Gore."
—John McCain, October 2, 2008

FR Keywords: mccaintruthfile, mcqueeg, mcbama

Please tag all relevant threads with the aforementioned keywords.

This can be a very high-volume ping list at times.

To join the ping list:
FReepmail rabscuttle385 with the subject line add  mccaintruthfile.
(Stop getting pings by sending the subject line drop mccaintruthfile.)


Republican Commissar’s Warning: By joining this ping list, you may be subjected to the delusional rants and ramblings of McCainiacs, of "moderate" Republicans, of pragmatic conservatives resigned to voting for the lesser of two Democrats, and of countless GOP shills who simply want to meet a new overlord.

3 posted on 01/28/2009 7:19:12 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385

At one time, so did his election to POTUS ...


4 posted on 01/28/2009 7:19:26 AM PST by TexGuy (If it has the slimmest of chances of being considered sarcasm ... IT IS!)
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To: rabscuttle385

Come on. Seriously Arizona, help us out here for goodness sakes, get him OUT.


5 posted on 01/28/2009 7:19:32 AM PST by GoCards
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To: rabscuttle385

In otherwards McLame needs to do what he always does. Try to play both sides of the fence and crap on conservatives.

Thrilled ain’t the word for it.


6 posted on 01/28/2009 7:21:24 AM PST by indylindy (life is now good again....he has been inaugurated)
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To: rabscuttle385

I was thinkin’ about teasing you and putting taxlady on there.

heh heh


7 posted on 01/28/2009 7:22:57 AM PST by indylindy (life is now good again....he has been inaugurated)
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To: MeanWestTexan

What about JD Hayworth????


8 posted on 01/28/2009 7:23:53 AM PST by GoCards
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To: indylindy; Arizona Carolyn
Try to play both sides of the fence and crap on conservatives.

The good thing about the 2008 electoral results is that Zero was not given a mandate. The bad thing is that the RINO wing of the Republican Party still thinks it can win.

In 2010, conservatives should crap all over McCain and send a message to the rest of the RINOs.

9 posted on 01/28/2009 7:24:02 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385
Really? Seriously?

Haven't we had just about enough of him?

10 posted on 01/28/2009 7:24:19 AM PST by AngryJawa (Obama's Success is America's Failure)
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To: indylindy

LOL


11 posted on 01/28/2009 7:24:23 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385

J.D. Hayworth, please run against Senator John McCain! Thanks in advance.


12 posted on 01/28/2009 7:24:26 AM PST by johnthebaptistmoore (Conservatives obey the rules. Leftists cheat. Who probably has the political advantage?)
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To: rabscuttle385
John Kerry, the Massachusetts Democrat who narrowly lost in 2004 to President George W. Bush

But no doubt Zero won in a landslide?

13 posted on 01/28/2009 7:24:57 AM PST by eclecticEel (The liberal's sense of compassion begins and ends with their own person.)
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To: rabscuttle385

Which party will he run in?


14 posted on 01/28/2009 7:25:13 AM PST by csmusaret (Call any Congresscritter at 1-877-762-8762. Tell them what you think.)
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To: rabscuttle385

Sheriff Joe Arpaio for Senator!


15 posted on 01/28/2009 7:25:32 AM PST by Vaquero ( "an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: rabscuttle385

10 million illegals can’t be wrong! He must be a good conservative!


16 posted on 01/28/2009 7:25:37 AM PST by MrPiper
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To: rabscuttle385

And the GOP thinks it can win by emulating the Democrats.


17 posted on 01/28/2009 7:25:56 AM PST by BigSkyFreeper (There is no alternative to the GOP except varying degrees of insanity)
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To: rabscuttle385

Hey, they’re still re-electing the former boyfriend of Mary Jo Kopecne in Massachusetts every 6 years, so nothing would surprise me.


18 posted on 01/28/2009 7:26:33 AM PST by laweeks
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To: rabscuttle385

I think McCain will get a strong primary challenge. It is worth remembering that McCain did not even get 50% of the presidential primary vote in AZ, the only “top tier” candidate of either party who failed to do so. And McCain won AZ in the election with just 53.4% of the vote to 44.9% for Obama. Bush won with 54.9% in 2004. McCain is vulnerable.


19 posted on 01/28/2009 7:26:36 AM PST by kabar
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To: MeanWestTexan

I am in IF someone who is a Conservative will run against that POS.


20 posted on 01/28/2009 7:26:44 AM PST by Paige ("All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing," Edmund Burke)
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To: rabscuttle385

*sigh* Obama’s gift to McCain. Guess “no filibusters” are the return favor he promised Obama. This just keeps getting better and better. /s

To Hell with the “minutes” of the Obama Scotus meeting. I want the ones between McCain and Obama.


21 posted on 01/28/2009 7:28:05 AM PST by karibdes (It's not a perfect world. Screws fall out.)
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To: rabscuttle385

American voters continue to be as stupid as they can be. Ask the average “likely voter” and that person will tell you, politicians are bad, most are corrupt, EXCEPT MY (Sentor, Congressman, etc.).

McCain is a Democrat, let him run as one.


22 posted on 01/28/2009 7:29:10 AM PST by brownsfan (We are sooooo screwed.)
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To: kabar

Hope so. I know precisely zero about AZ politics.


23 posted on 01/28/2009 7:29:15 AM PST by karibdes (It's not a perfect world. Screws fall out.)
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To: Old Sarge

Conservatives should get Sarah to come to Arizona and campaign against McCain.


24 posted on 01/28/2009 7:30:07 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: brownsfan

“American voters continue to be as stupid as they can be. Ask the average “likely voter” and that person will tell you, politicians are bad, most are corrupt, EXCEPT MY (Sentor, Congressman, etc.).”

true that. No way McCain loses a primary barring an epic screw up


25 posted on 01/28/2009 7:32:33 AM PST by MoreGovLess (Seek justice, love kindness, walk humbly with your God (Micah))
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To: rabscuttle385

McCain, Gore, Hillary... All these dinosaurs need to be put out to pasture!


26 posted on 01/28/2009 7:32:35 AM PST by J40000
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To: GoCards

I don’t know AZ politics, other than McCain sucks.

If Hayworth is viable candidate, and a real fiscal conservative, that’s OK with me.

Note I -— a prolife, etc, voter -— said “real fiscal conservative.”

Reason behind that: a real fiscal conservative typically lines up (or eventually lines up) on social issues -— AND -— we need to gather in the non-authorative conseratives back into the tent (i.e., those people who are conservative, but don’t want the government telling them to be conservative).


27 posted on 01/28/2009 7:38:33 AM PST by MeanWestTexan (Beware Obama's Reichstag fire.)
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To: rabscuttle385

“McCain a big break by taking his strongest potential Arizona Democratic challenger out of the picture”

That explains why McCain has been grabbing his ankles for Zero regarding confirmations. And why we will see a lot more ankle grabbing by McCain. “Straight talking” politics as usual. Oh Joy!


28 posted on 01/28/2009 7:39:45 AM PST by Craigon
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To: GoCards

We can only do what we can do. I’ll vote against Mc in the primary if he’s opposed, but I won’t vote Dem unless we hatch some sort of Zell Miller clone.


29 posted on 01/28/2009 7:46:12 AM PST by razorboy
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To: rabscuttle385

J. D. Hayworth is on the radio here (KFYI) and doesn’t have much use for McCain. Would love to see him run.


30 posted on 01/28/2009 7:46:12 AM PST by azishot
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To: rabscuttle385

The problem with defeating McCain is that he didn’t spend a ton of the campaign contributions we sent him in his presidential run. I’m pretty sure he tops $50 mil in the coffers, obtained by betraying his presidential supporters. It will be an uphill battle to defeat him, unless Sarah Palin campaigns for his primary opponent.


31 posted on 01/28/2009 7:53:01 AM PST by Bertram3 (Not enough ginkgo.)
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To: GoCards
Come on. Seriously Arizona, help us out here for goodness sakes, get him OUT.

Are Phoenix and St. Paul sister cities or something???


32 posted on 01/28/2009 7:56:45 AM PST by COBOL2Java (Obamanation: an imploding administration headed by a clueless schmuck, with McCain as his Kowakian)
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To: MoreGovLess
I have a home in Scottsdale. McCain is not popular among Reps. Since his last reelection in 2004, we have had McCain emerge as the Amnesty King. He is also supporting a cap and trade system to address the global warming hoax. McCain's biggest test will come in the primary. If he gets the nomination, the Independents and moderate Dems will probably reelect him.

McCain has already screwed up big time with McCain-Kennedy and McCain-Lieberman. He was against the 2006 proposition in AZ that made English the official state language. It passed with 75% of the vote. And he has joined forces with Obama. Now it remains to be seen if Rep voters in AZ will hold him accountable.

33 posted on 01/28/2009 7:57:41 AM PST by kabar
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To: GoCards
Come on. Seriously Arizona, help us out here for goodness sakes, get him OUT.

It's pretty had to do, he gets all the liberal votes and now that Californis is dumping all their unemployed on us, I hope we manage to keep a republican legislature.

34 posted on 01/28/2009 7:59:20 AM PST by McGavin999
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To: rabscuttle385

We all have to keep in mind, Sarah is probably going to go down to AZ and campaign on McCain’s behalf. Please, let’s not get angry with her for doing so... it’s a loyalty thing. McCain brought her to the national stage, so she’s going to the need to help him. Just warnin’ ahead of time.


35 posted on 01/28/2009 8:03:14 AM PST by ScottinVA (Make my world PURRRFECT, Lord Obama!)
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To: rabscuttle385

Even so, we should support a conservative opponent; it will help both McCain (who must realize being a maverick is wasting good will and effectiveness) and the opponent, who sets himself up for the next Senate race.


36 posted on 01/28/2009 8:03:42 AM PST by GAB-1955 (Kicking and Screaming into the Kingdom of Heaven!)
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To: rabscuttle385
What needs to be pointed out here is that the two "successful losers" that are used as examples in this article are both Democrats. Seriously, John Kerry and George McGovern? One can only become successful in the Democrat party after losing in a landslide, apparently.

McCain has stuck his finger in the eye of Arizona Republicans one time too many. He no longer represents anything Conservatives are about, and it's pretty obvious after this last campaign debacle that he never did. Every Republican I know here is furious with McCain. We are SICK AND TIRED of the mess that illegal immigration has left in our state. We all voted for McCain out of fear, and now all of our worst fears have come true. What do we have left to lose? As I said to a friend of mine, I'll vote for a Democrat before I vote for McCain again. At least the Democrat won't have McCain's "Star Power" with the media.

37 posted on 01/28/2009 8:08:32 AM PST by ponygirl (I am opposed to Communists of any color.)
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To: ScottinVA; kabar; indylindy; hiredhand
We all have to keep in mind, Sarah is probably going to go down to AZ and campaign on McCain’s behalf. Please, let’s not get angry with her for doing so... it’s a loyalty thing.

If Sarah chooses to side with McCain, then I will feel free to do so too, by assuming that she actually believes her statements with regard to amnesty for illegals and that she was not forced to make such statements by McCain.

And, as such, if she should end up the 2012 GOP nominee for POTUS, I will vote against her by casting my vote for a third party just like in 2008.

38 posted on 01/28/2009 8:09:00 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: ScottinVA; kabar; indylindy; hiredhand
...then I will feel free to do so too...

Not side with McCain, but to make my own choice, too.

Something tells me I need more caffeine ;)

39 posted on 01/28/2009 8:10:11 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385

Palin would be making a big mistake by doing so. McCain is damaged goods. Palin will be at CPAC this year. She will get an earful re immigration.


40 posted on 01/28/2009 8:13:05 AM PST by kabar
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To: kabar; indylindy; hiredhand
McCain is damaged goods.

Damaged?! More like throughly rotten, rancid, foul, and pestilence-laden. McCain IS the leading edge of the RINO cancer running amok within the GOP.

41 posted on 01/28/2009 8:15:33 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385

Please, please, please let J.D. Hayworth challenge McQueeg in the primary!

Seriously, we need to do everything we can to recruit him to it, and then finance his campaign through individual contributions, since I doubt we can trust the national party to actually support the more conservative candidate (remember Bush and Co. supporting Specter against Toomey?)


42 posted on 01/28/2009 8:15:46 AM PST by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Nihil utile nisi quod honestum - Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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To: GAB-1955

“Even so, we should support a conservative opponent; it will help both McCain (who must realize being a maverick is wasting good will and effectiveness) and the opponent, who sets himself up for the next Senate race.”

Agreed that it is good to set up the guy for the next Senate race.

Disagreed that McCain will learn anything. He’s so full of himself that he shits little McCains.


43 posted on 01/28/2009 8:17:37 AM PST by MeanWestTexan (Beware Obama's Reichstag fire.)
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To: UCFRoadWarrior; cripplecreek

44 posted on 01/28/2009 8:17:44 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385
Most people don't actually follow political issues. They merely assimilate what the Democrat news media tells them to believe, then regurgitate the talking points they have been fed.

http://members.mountain.net/theanalyticpapers/matrix8.htm

45 posted on 01/28/2009 8:18:34 AM PST by Jeff Chandler (They moved my pie.)
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To: MeanWestTexan; GAB-1955; upchuck
Disagreed that McCain will learn anything. He’s so full of himself that he shits little McCains.

You were saying?

46 posted on 01/28/2009 8:19:37 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: rabscuttle385

I should have known Bruce Merrill was involved in this. Idiot alert!!!!!!!

McCain is not that well liked here.


47 posted on 01/28/2009 8:20:42 AM PST by hsmomx3 (GO STEELERS!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: rabscuttle385

Yeah, I was pretty proud of that line.


48 posted on 01/28/2009 8:26:19 AM PST by MeanWestTexan (Beware Obama's Reichstag fire.)
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To: MeanWestTexan
Yeah, I was pretty proud of that line.

I liked it so much that it's now on my profile page.

49 posted on 01/28/2009 8:26:56 AM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" —Patrick Henry)
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To: Vaquero
"Sheriff Joe Arpaio for Senator!"

===============
That choice makes a heck of a lot more sense to me than Hayworth.

50 posted on 01/28/2009 8:29:42 AM PST by NoRedTape
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