Too late for that first scenario...to have a concerted effort and spending quite a bit of money to play these games to come out into the open would just prove what kind of sycophant he really is....
Actually, it could still be too early. Can you imagine a scenario where the BC story really reaches a lot of people and the MSM has to start paying some attention-- spinning in favor of obambi, of course. But then, some prominent opponents take up the cause and really go out on a limb with it?
obambi could ignore it for a while..."no comment" it for a while... vow to never release the real BC as a matter of "principal". Just let it build. Let the demands grow more strident.
Then he looks at his teleprompter and says, "Look, we released the COLB early on. Every official in Hawaii has confirmed its authenticity. There were newspaper announcements of my birth in 1961. These things have been pointed out time after time. We have been open and honest. Yet, this lunatic fringe, whose real mission is to destroy our plans for national health care reform, tax relief for working people, fighting global warming, making this nation strong and energy-independent, and create a national service opportunity for every person over the age of 12-- these people who seek to protect the Old Guard of Special Interests-- will not cease with scurrilous and absurd attacks on my Presidency.
"Accordingly, so that we can now focus on the truly important issues facing us, I present you with the actual certificate of my birth which has existed in the official files of my birth State of Hawaii for the entire 48 years of my life-- and I have asked the authorities in HI to make the original official vault copy of the document available to any news organization who requests it and specifically to Mr. ____________ and Sen. ______________, who have so adamantly disputed my eligibility to serve in this office.
"And I now ask the American people to join with me in bringing the reforms this nation so desperately needs and requires. We must no longer be diverted from our task by the loud voices of the beligerent Right Wing who have shown they will stoop to rank lies and misinformation to divert our course. It is time to truly come together in this time of national crisis. Tomorrow, there is a crucial vote on the critically important issue of ....blah...blah....blah"
Think Katie or Brian would give that any play? What about Keith and Chrissy?
It's all just hypothetical, of course, but I think it is accurate as to the type of person we are up against.