Here's a follow-up. In the scenario I described, which I think is very likely to be the situation we eventually face, Congress refuses to allow the conservative states to depart. This is a Congress that has long since broken free from the moorings of the Constitution and is maintained in power by voters it imported for the very purpose of undermining the electoral clout of American citizens. Would the states be justified in going their own way without authorization at that point?
Why do you think it's the likely scenario? If it is clearly evident through any polling method you care to name that the clear majority of the people want to leave then what is the incentive for the Congress to refuse to negotiate a separation and allow them to leave? Especially when the alternative could be, would be, violence and civil strife? What is the motivation for that?