Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: ScottinVA
Part of the problem (yet to be resolved by the pollster) is the over-representation in the polling of Northern Virginia.

The sample selection process had been frontloaded to give Moran and McAuliffe a lead over Deeds, and more than likely to show McAuliffe in the lead over Moran.

It's a bit early to go back and poll using the same folks to call.

I'm sure they'll figure this out (not).

6 posted on 06/11/2009 8:22:03 AM PDT by muawiyah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: muawiyah

That’s what we said in 2005. Truth is; the liberal influx in NoVA has permanently changed state-wide and national elections for Virginia.


45 posted on 06/11/2009 10:03:12 AM PDT by Doohickey (The more cynical you become, the better off you'll be.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: muawiyah
The polls were accurate. Deeds surged in the polls after the Washington Post endorsed him. Deeds gained 13 percent after the endorsement and in the following week gained another 13 percent in the polls before the primary.

The polls were accurate in forecasting a big primary victory.

You are aware that 1 out of every 7 Virginia residents live in Fairfax County? If you add the rest of Northern Virginia's population, then 2 out of every 7 Virginia residents live in Northern Virginia. That is about 28% of the state's population.

In addition, the turnout percentage in Alexandria and Arlington are very high in general elections, so polls should heavily weigh Northern Virginia.

60 posted on 06/11/2009 5:26:57 PM PDT by Dave W
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson