I don’t think it will happen in July. There is a three week period of mourning for all the bad things (destruction of both Temples, failure of Bar Kochba rebellion, expulsion of Jews from Spain) that happened to the Jewish people throuout history beginning with a fast and culminating three weeks later on July 30, Tisha B’Av another fast day.
This period is considered very unlucky and Jews commemorate these losses with two fast days.
I think you’re correct.