What crops are farmers shifting to?
But farmers have moved away from intensive tillage and don't really need the wheat stubble to maintain soil tilth on their better ground. With the input cost of nitrogen drifting so high, many farmer have dropped wheat from the rotation and have gone to a corn-beans two year rotation, allowing the nitrogen carry-over from the bean crop to reduce the anhydrous ammonia required to fertilize the corn crop.
On the other hand, to the extent that taking wheat out a rotation creates a sort of vacuum in the marketplace, you can expect that vacuum to be filled by the planting of wheat on more marginal ground less suitable for soybeans and corn (which is how the marketplace should work).