Bushes fault.
Ruth Marcus: Gee, This might not work after all.
In fact, the occasion called for more humility than hyperbole, however unlikely that may have been given the setting. If I were a member of Congress, my floor speech before casting a yes vote would have boiled down to:
Gee, I hope this works.
One of the astonishing aspects of the health-care debate is how little is actually known about the implications of a change this far-reaching. Everyone has a theory, and a model to match, but even some of the most fundamental questions remain the subject of debate.
On the most basic of all — does having health insurance lead to better health? — the evidence is solid but not unanimous. The Institute of Medicine, reviewing the literature in 2009, found that “the body of evidence on the health consequences of health insurance is stronger than ever before. . . . Simply stated: Health insurance coverage matters.”
But a study that same year by Richard Kronick, a former health-care adviser to President Bill Clinton, found “little evidence to suggest that extending insurance coverage to all adults would have a large effect on the number of deaths in the United States.” Kronick’s study has been criticized because it did not adjust for the fact that those in poor health are more likely to seek insurance. But the disagreement underscores the difficulty of knowing precisely what changes are in store.
http://ace.mu.nu/archives/299786.php