Hard to say.
All used to be members of the conservative parties and went independent for different reasons.
Which is more important to them? Their overall conservatism - or the reasons they left?
Labor: 68
Liberal/Nationals: 62
Other: 3
These are predictions - not calls.
If the breakdown works as predicted and those 3 remain solid in principle, it may work out well for Conservatives. Gridlock is a good possibility if 1 person can be swayed away.
I’m a bit surprised though, I thought Abbott had a good chance of winning, albeit by a small margin.