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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 47%, Democrats 38%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/23/2010 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 08/23/2010 12:04:29 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

August 23, 2010

Republicans now hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, August 22, 2010.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely Voters would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate, while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

The previous week, Republicans held a 12-point lead, the biggest they've had in over a decade of Rasmussen Reports surveying. But support for Republicans is down one point from then, while support for Democrats is up two points. Republicans have led on the Generic Congressional Ballot since June of last year, and their lead hasn’t fallen below five points since the beginning of December. GOP support since June 2009 has ranged from 41% to 48%. Support for Democrats in the same period has run from 35% to 40%.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: genericballot; rasmussen; tsunami
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I knew it probably would not remain at +12. It will be interesting to see what other polls do this week. I thought it was good that the GOP is still close to 50%.
1 posted on 08/23/2010 12:04:32 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
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To: Tennessean4Bush

#DemEpicFail


2 posted on 08/23/2010 12:06:48 PM PDT by Portnoy (Follow me on Twitter @thehipposass)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Kowahbunga! That’s huge!

This translates into a tidal wave of pubbies being elected to both the House and the Senate.


3 posted on 08/23/2010 12:07:45 PM PDT by RexBeach
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To: Portnoy

If these numbers are accurate and do hold, look for the Dems to lose anywhere between 75 and 100 seats this November.


4 posted on 08/23/2010 12:09:12 PM PDT by Gen. Burkhalter
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To: Gen. Burkhalter

They need to lose at least 100 seats or more.

Insane that ALL the TV networks are out there fawning for Islam and the Victory mosque. ALL of American TV supports Islam now.


5 posted on 08/23/2010 12:12:43 PM PDT by Frantzie (Imam Ob*m* & Democrats support the VICTORY MOSQUE & TV supports Imam)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
The likelihood of Republican victory is why it is so important to defeat the likes of John McCain in the primaries.

Jim DeMint is a hero.

6 posted on 08/23/2010 12:12:47 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (Islam offers three choices: surrender, fight, or die.)
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To: RexBeach
You bet it's hugh. Series problem for the RATS is a comin’.
7 posted on 08/23/2010 12:12:53 PM PDT by JPG (How much taxpayer $ did Mookie blow today?)
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To: Gen. Burkhalter

100+


8 posted on 08/23/2010 12:13:02 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Portnoy
Total Epic Fail.

August is usually a good polling month for dems as Republicans are usually on vacation. From looking at these numbers, its going to be a rough fall for them.

9 posted on 08/23/2010 12:13:02 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Tennessean4Bush

How did this big of a lead translate into seats won in previous off-year elections? 1994 for example.


10 posted on 08/23/2010 12:15:13 PM PDT by hattend (Like a termite to wood, Obama only wants to destroy - Mark Levin)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Voters not affiliated with either party prefer the GOP candidate by a 48% to 25% margin.

Great news.


11 posted on 08/23/2010 12:15:32 PM PDT by 1035rep
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The Generic Ballot results were much different during the last two election cycles when Democrats regularly had large leads. When President Obama was inaugurated in January 2009, Democrats enjoyed a seven-point advantage. The two parties were very close through the spring of 2009, but in June, around the time Democrats began their campaign for health care reform, Republicans pulled ahead for good.
12 posted on 08/23/2010 12:18:21 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: hattend
How did this big of a lead translate into seats won in previous off-year elections? 1994 for example.
Not entirely sure. Ras was not polling then, so there is not a one-to-one correlation. Gallup was, and I believe showed a modest 3-5pt lead for the GOP in 1994. Gallup is showing almost twice that now.
13 posted on 08/23/2010 12:18:59 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Wow. Then I have 2 words: Holy Cow!

Two more: Hot Damn!


14 posted on 08/23/2010 12:23:52 PM PDT by hattend (Like a termite to wood, Obama only wants to destroy - Mark Levin)
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To: hattend

The most important thing, imho, is often overlooked. With the GOP base energized by these polls and anxious to send a message, not only do they pick up lots of seats in the US House and some in the Senate, but they benefit all the way down the ticket to the state legislative senate and house races. We may see 38 GOP Governors and many legislative bodies flipped to GOP. This is supremely important this year especially since these bodies will be redrawing seat boundaries in response to the 2010 census. I know in TN, this will mean not only the US Congressional delegation will be more conservative in future elections, but all the state house and senate districts may be redrawn more favorably to the GOP.


15 posted on 08/23/2010 12:25:06 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

If that hold true this year, the Dems are really up the creek without a paddle, or boat.


16 posted on 08/23/2010 12:28:57 PM PDT by matt04
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To: Tennessean4Bush
"Not to worry, Democrats. We got a B-i-g October Surprise coming.
I ordered the DNC to send all Dems the book, 'Get Sexier in Ninety Days.' "

"And Robert Redford's showing us how to smolder before a teleprompter."

Harry practices "smoldering."

17 posted on 08/23/2010 12:31:29 PM PDT by Liz
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To: All

18 posted on 08/23/2010 12:32:33 PM PDT by Liz
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To: Tennessean4Bush

From this article:

Fifty-three percent (53%) of white voters favor the Republican, but 71% of African-Americans prefer the Democrat.

Is the Democrat support from African-Americans down?


19 posted on 08/23/2010 12:32:43 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Liz

That’s funny.


20 posted on 08/23/2010 12:35:29 PM PDT by 1035rep
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