Thanks clyde5445 for spotting this.
Lisa can do whatever she wants. She can’t overcome Joe Miller’s lead and if she’s runs third party, it won’t matter.
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Future Useless Eater posted on another thread:
Everyone assumes that the absentee ballots will run about 75% Republican, similar to the general election, but I totaled the data from all 40 districts in the state’s primary results website, and found this....
Cards Cast Report as of Aug 25, 2010 4:42pm
Total absentees 13458
Republican ballot ..... 5801 43.1%
ADL ballot ................ 5197 38.6%
Measures-only ballot 2460 18.3%
http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/10PRIM/data/cards.pdf
Freepers, make the calls NOW!!! This is why we are here.
If those numbers are correct, if we take the 5,801 GOP ballots and multiply them by 1.5 to account for late arrivals and the other provisional ballots, Murkowsi would have to win 60% of them to overcome her deficit.
If we double the 5,801, she’s still have to win over 57% of the outstanding ballots.
Assuming they’re fairly counted, I can’t imagine she’d win 57% or more.
She needs 78.5 percent to overcome the lead. She needs 63.7 percent to trigger auto recount.
It’s over for Murkowski.