[justiceseeker93]

A 19 point spread among those most likely to vote...

No, it's a 19 point spread among those most closely following the elections. It's a nine point spread among those most likely to vote. (Ras only reports results among likely voters - in contrast to some of the other pollsters.) The two categories aren't quite the same.

[GonzoGOP]

The two categories aren't quite the same.

Sorry for the confusion I was making a distinction between likely and most likely. Obviously people who are closely following an election are virtually certain to vote. Others are simply likely to vote.

[SeattleBruce]

“No, it’s a 19 point spread among those most closely following the elections. It’s a nine point spread among those most likely to vote.”

Ras polls LV - likely voters. My take is that those closely following the election are ‘most’ likely to vote. Turnout among that group will be very high and break greatly (+ 19) to the GOP. Then among the LV group it will not be as great a turnout (it’s a likely voter model) - but those who vote will still break quite significantly toward the GOP (+9).