New WV Poll Shows Manchin Leading (Liberal PPP poll)

National Review ^ | 10/25/2010 | Katrina Trinko

[BigEdLB]

In general when they (PPP) release a poll on the same day as another polling organization, inevitably the are 4% more Dem than the other poll. I did a survey of PPP polls vs Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, Survey USA, etc, and that is what I found. If they knew about O’Donnell’s primary win, it is only because the survey was Republicans only...

[Qbert]

“Given that Democrats hold an almost 2 to 1 edge in voter registration in WV, and given the GOP has almost no effective local organization to carry out GOTV campaigns, I think Freepers, including myself, have been a bit over optimistic on this one...”

You’ve bashed Raese and his chances in lots of previous threads...not credible.

And at any rate, even if Manchin loses, he still is where he’s wanted the most...

[rushmom]

I think I figured that Delaware poll out. Think about it. The Democrats wanted O’Donnell to win, so PPP released an honest poll on her. It worked for them. If they had wanted Castle to win, you would have never seen that poll.

[Pollster1]

I really thought we had this one in the bag.

Nothing is in the bag for anyone this year. All politics is local, and any race can become local even this year. We'll do very well, but there will be dark blots, whether due to fraud, weak patriotic candidates, or bad luck.

[rushmom]

This country can not afford a less than stellar performance against the Democrats. The situation is too dire.

[crosslink]

Lets try to understand the reasoning in this poll if it is 7% more Dem's this year then 2008. Look at the generic ballot 49 40. It was 46 46 in 1994 and we won everything. Now it is 49 40. This poll is bunk.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124010/generic-ballot-provides-clues-2010-vote.aspx

[Anti-Bubba182]

"Too bad for Manchin that Tom Jensen and PPP are the only ones buying it..."

You said it. PPP=PushPollProgressives!!

[sendthemhome]

Ras has places where he is good and places where he is bad. His polling data is best in states with low minority populations like West Virginia. For some reasons, blacks tend not to take robo polls. So I would trust his numbers most in places like WV but be a bit more skeptical in other states that aren’t as homogeneous.

[freespirited]

Recall also that a few days before the primary, PPP had data on how Christine would fare against Coons. They deliberately withheld it till the day after the primary.

This is entirely consistent with your hunch that they wanted Christine as the primary winner.

[ncalburt]

This PPP outfit thinks it clever .

It peddles these wildly pro Dem polls meant to manipulate the voters and then at the last minute will push out a more accurate poll the day of the election .

Its a scam.

[ScottinVA]

I thought this was going our way, too, with that last Rasmussen poll. Looks like Manchin has been successful in fooling the masses into thinking he`d actually stand up to 0bama.

Come on, West Virginia, you were doing so well... don`t regress. Manchin will be on his knees kissing 0bama`s ring inside of his first week in office!

[Benz72982]

So true. I live in NJ and I remember Quinnipiac doing just that in the Governor’s race last year. A week before the election, Quinnipiac came out with a poll showing Corzine leading Christie by 5 points. At the end they said they would be doing one more poll on the race. The day before the election the final poll came out. Christie lead Corzine by 2. Just by looking at the crosstabs you could tell that Quinnipiac manipulated them to save face. Christie went on to win by 4.