Posted on 11/02/2010 7:55:24 AM PDT by kingattax
We probably will not know the final composition of the Senate tomorow. Washington State only counts half of its ballots on election night (the rest are mail-in), so that race probably won't be called until later in the week -- and even then it might be close enough to trigger an automatic recount.
There may be recounts in other states, too. But we will get an early indicator of whether Republicans have a shot of taking the Senate.
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
We don’t do very well in recounts.
I predict that it will not be.
I doubt it. Patty Murray doesn’t have many supporters left.
It doesn’t matter how many supporters she has. The King county vote will not come in until it is determined how many votes she needs to win, and then they will supply that amount plus a few.
First place to look is WV. If we don’t get that, it will be tough. Personally, I think we take WV. I am watching CT and DE (yes, seriously). If we get one of those, I bet we get 53 seats.
Is it my imagination or aren’t the polls generally more positive for Republicans this year than they were in 1994? I’m thinking that the anti-bias built in is about 3% and that this is just never factored in to any sober analysis. So, I’m figuring that just about every pundit is underpromising Pubbie gains.
Which, of course, is a very good thing.
anyone trading on intrade feel free to private message me, I am curious as to how your placing your bets, I have several thousand dollars riding on this election.
“whether Republicans have a shot of taking the Senate.”
Hope they don’t.
Bammy, the Whiner-in-Chief, needs a ready-made excuse, and a numerical-Republican-majority, RINO-dominated Senate, god forbid, will supply. A split Congress, that’s the ticket. A bare Republican majority in the Senate will be worse than worthless to conservatives; it will be dominated by the need to placate weather-vane, socially-liberal, big-spending RINO saboteurs, Collins, Snowe, and the like.
Yes, some commentators say that this will be the biggest electoral tidal wave since the 19th century. I’m not sure if that’s exaggerated or not. But this should be bigger than 1994.
If COD comes within 5 points in Delaware then I think we get CA and WA. That should put us at 10 in the senate.
West Virginia is kind of a different race just because
there is a governor running to the far right and he has an approval rating around 70%.
Also, if COD comes within 5 but loses I think we pick up 80 in the house.
If she wins I think we pick up 12 in the senate and 110 in the house.
One thing for sure, it’s going to be tough for me to get any work done today.
Well, the 1894 wave was 100+ seats changing hands in a smaller House. That is a pretty big hurdle to overcome in today’s gerrymandered structure.
Still, anything north of 40 seats changing hands is a real accomplishment, no matter what the nattering nabobs try to foist on us.
Katie will be wearing all black?
Exactly. I am so glad I have internet access on my phone. Science class and band class for the kids means no computer access.
I ALWAYS underpromise and overdeliver. Good news at the barrelhead is always appreciated.
It may be harder to get work done tomorrow. Wish I’d had the foresight to schedule tomorrow off. I think there may be a lot of races that won’t be decided until the early morning hours or even into the day Wednesday.
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