[cherry]

I don’t think he’ll get that many write in votes, but wouldn’t a vote for anybody but Cow or an errant vote be just as good?

[no dems]

I don’t think he’ll get that many write in votes, but wouldn’t a vote for anybody but Cow or an errant vote be just as good?

Nope; not as good; it would require two times that amount because Joe would not be putting votes in his column; just taking them from Lisa.

[adingdangdoo]

The magic number for a Miller victory is 10,800.
Each vote for Miller counts twice... once for adding to Miller's total, and once for not being in Murkowski's column.
Each vote for neither candidate counts once.

If x = Miller votes and y = votes for neither, then Miller wins if (2x + y) > 10,800.