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To: ChicagoConservative27
Yes, Bam is very unpopular, but not sure that directly translates into his losing in 2012. Some of the pushback may have to do with Hillary PUMAs back on the hunt.

It does not take too deep of a look at voting demographics to see that Bam can win in 2012 (Google voter demographics 2008 and do some math). If he manages 95% of black vote, 67% of Hispanic votes and 62% of Asian vote (same % as 2008) he needs only about 40% of the white vote to win the popular. I know this is a very cursory analysis, but to think he cannot win is short sighted.

My guess is he stalemates everything, does not give a darn about the country, but runs against "big-business, rich, country-club Repubs" in 2012. This will play with his demographic when the economy is not better or even worse. With the help of the MSM, which he MUST have, he just might fool enough white voters to pull it off.

schu

28 posted on 11/16/2010 6:02:02 PM PST by schu
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To: schu

He could still maintain those percentages in the black and hispanic votes, but if they don’t turn out in the numbers they did in 2008, it won’t matter. The numbers he got in 2008 took an enormous get out the vote effort of a type I had never seen before.

The rat base was energized and they were flush with money to drag people to the polls. It was a perfect storm of a popular candidate, energized base and tons of money.

If obama stays as unpopular, it won’t matter. He’s lost the middle and his money men don’t have what they did.


38 posted on 11/17/2010 11:45:44 AM PST by MediaMole
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