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Sarah Palin's Mike Huckabee problem
WaPo ^ | 6:00 AM ET, 11/23/2010 | By Aaron Blake and Felicia Sonmez

Posted on 11/23/2010 8:14:30 AM PST by onyx

1. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee said Monday that Sarah Palin might well "run away" with the Republican nomination for president.

It's funny Huckabee should say such a thing, because he's got a lot of say over whether she does just that. And it has to do with whether he even runs in the first place.

As potential 2012 candidates weigh their prospects and determine their plans for the next presidential race, one thing is clear: that Huckabee and Palin inhabit largely the same space -- i.e. they each would perform well without the other, but they might undercut each other if they are in the same race.

There is currently a four-candidate top-tier consisting of Palin, Huckabee, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. And indeed, a new Quinnipiac University poll on Monday showed the four of them all huddled between 15 and 19 percent of the vote.

But while Huckabee and Gingrich have pretty broad support, the base of support for Huckabee and Palin is readily apparent, and for both of them, it starts with born-again evangelicals. The two of them combine for 46 percent of that vote, compared to just 26 percent for Gingrich and Romney. Palin and Huckabee are also the top two vote-getters among women and people without college degrees.

So why is that important? Because if any of the four frontrunners seems least likely to run for president, it would be Huckabee. And, if he doesn't take the plunge, where is his 26 percent share of evangelicals going to go? Where is his 18 percent share of women going? Who gets his 17 percent share of those without college degrees?

The obvious answer to all three of those questions is Palin.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: huckabee; palin; palin2012; romney; romneydirtytrick; romneyfakepoll; stenchofromney; tiresome
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This is the second article of its kind, pitting Huckabee against Palin. Something's up.
1 posted on 11/23/2010 8:14:35 AM PST by onyx
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To: Brices Crossroads; Al B.; Clyde5445; sarah fan UK

Sudden push for the Huckaboob. First Frum, and the WaPo today.


2 posted on 11/23/2010 8:15:57 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

That’s EXACTLY what’s going on. Watch the ‘narrative’ in the MSM.


3 posted on 11/23/2010 8:16:34 AM PST by RushIsMyTeddyBear (Not under the influence of Hope-nosis.)
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To: onyx

The left knows that Obama would slaughter Huckabee whereas Palin could have a shot.


4 posted on 11/23/2010 8:16:52 AM PST by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: onyx

I swear I do not understand it. I am supposed to be exactly the Huckabee base, in Huckabee territory. If I didn’t read articles and poll results for him here on FR, I would already have forgotten him.


5 posted on 11/23/2010 8:17:40 AM PST by Psalm 144
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To: onyx
Huckabee and Palin inhabit largely the same space.

Funny, I've never gotten the "naughty librarian" vibe from Huckabee. ;-)

6 posted on 11/23/2010 8:18:55 AM PST by AZLiberty (Yes, Mr. Lennon, I do want a revolution.)
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

Yeah and Huckabee is encouraged and smitten by the attention. I saw him on Fox ‘n Friends this morning. He’s dying to run.


7 posted on 11/23/2010 8:19:01 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

Huckabee is DOA in the 2012 race. Think pardons/paroles problem.

It amazes me to see the panic set in this early in the Establishment over one single potential candidate. Never has a single person instilled so much fear in the Establishment before, not even Reagan. Can’t wait to witness President Palin’s inaugural address on January 20, 2013.


8 posted on 11/23/2010 8:19:15 AM PST by medscribe
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To: facedown

You’re right about that. Huckabee is not going to inspire Tea Party patriots to work for his election. Dear Lord.


9 posted on 11/23/2010 8:20:47 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

Huckster is probably pushing for the VP slot


10 posted on 11/23/2010 8:21:15 AM PST by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: onyx

It’s funny they never mention Huck’s “Willie Horton” problem. When the people hear about this Huck will be roadkill.


11 posted on 11/23/2010 8:21:49 AM PST by Clyde5445 (Gov. Sarah Palin: :"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words.")
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To: onyx
And indeed, a new Quinnipiac University poll on Monday showed the four of them all huddled between 15 and 19 percent of the vote.

Not that I give Q polls any credence, but that shows that the largest portion of the polled voters don't want any of the four "front runners".

12 posted on 11/23/2010 8:22:05 AM PST by Pan_Yan
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To: Psalm 144

LOL. He is definitely not anyone I want to consider. Too much of a squish.


13 posted on 11/23/2010 8:22:14 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

While at the doctor’s office yesterday saw him on the View. He seemed real chummy with Joy.


14 posted on 11/23/2010 8:22:24 AM PST by rocksblues (Obama, the biggest liar in the history of American politics!)
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To: onyx

This is just a sophomoric attempt at liberals like Frum and the ComPost to split people on the right, we see righ through this childishness.


15 posted on 11/23/2010 8:22:51 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: onyx

Saw the Huckster on Greta’s show last night. Felt like I needed a shower. He just gives me the creeps...


16 posted on 11/23/2010 8:23:19 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter ( I can see 2012 from my cubicle...)
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To: medscribe
It amazes me to see the panic set in this early in the Establishment over one single potential candidate. Never has a single person instilled so much fear in the Establishment before, not even Reagan. Can’t wait to witness President Palin’s inaugural address on January 20, 2013.

Just dayum. You're sure right about that and I can't wait either!

GO SARAH!

17 posted on 11/23/2010 8:24:21 AM PST by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: onyx

Squish to be sure, a gullible sap on paroles, and the incident with his son is a major red flag for me.


18 posted on 11/23/2010 8:24:58 AM PST by Psalm 144
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To: onyx

Evengelicals like Palin, but her base is the limited government middle-class. Huck’s base is single issue social Evangelicals. They are not the same group. I think Palin could pick up a good chunk of Huck’s supporters if he didn’t run, but I don’t think it would happen the other way around.


19 posted on 11/23/2010 8:25:02 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: onyx
Huckabee would be a bad choice. He has too much baggage. He does a good job as a TV host - but not as POTUS. Almost anybody, however, would do a better job than the present POTUS.
20 posted on 11/23/2010 8:25:46 AM PST by Dante3
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