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To: Kaslin

Mubarak was and is a stabilizing factor in the Middle East.

But in order to keep himself in power he should make some needed democratic reforms.

But he should never ever knuckle under to anything or anybody connected to the Muslim Brotherhood.

I think Mubarak has the basic support of the military who respect him and his new VP.


2 posted on 02/09/2011 4:43:45 AM PST by Ev Reeman
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To: Ev Reeman
I know little about current Egypt politics other that what I have read in the past two weeks. That said, I think I could craft a better policy in the current situation than Obama/Clinton “foggy bottom” have.

Mubarak is done...he is/was a figurehead of the military/secret service complex much as Pervez Musharaff
was in Pakistan. He had power up until maybe 5 or 6 years ago but the military is increasingly calling the shots and propping him up.

Mubarak is done - the passion in the streets is real and has the potential to get much more deadly the longer he stays. Yet there is a crying need for an orderly transition to a new leader - quickly. The longer the street riots go on, the higher potential for it to be necessary for the military to intervene decisively.

The longer Mubarak stays the more likely it is that the Muslim Brotherhood, with Iran/Hezbollah actively egging
them on, will be able to exert pressure greater numbers of people to join them. Lurking in the background - and probably being exploited by Iran - are the 500 [not sure of the number #] or so al Qaeda members that escaped from the jails during the rioting.

The Egyptian military loves the United States. Many trained here with our military. The Egyptian man in the
street respects the Egyptian military.

It occurs to me that we should encourage, very quietly of course, the military to find a man of the people, unconnected with the current regime or directly with the military that has the respect of the people and put back
him, quietly of course, as an interim President....

A Vaclav Havel type if you will. There must be some Egyptian, somewhere, that will command the respect and even adoration of the large mass of reasonable people.

Such a leader, even if interim, would isolate the crazies from the masses...those that keep fomenting riots could
be cracked down upon - hard - by the military.

All this is easier said than done. I have every faith that - even if such a plan existed - Washington DC, the Obama Administration with media flacks by their side
would screw it up by attempting to take credit prematurely
with “leaks’ and self congratulations.

5 posted on 02/09/2011 6:03:06 AM PST by HardStarboard (I'm sure George and Dick had quiet smiles while watching the election results!)
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